TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12462010
Played Aug 20Finished
Yehor Riadynskyi
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117119––––
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeYehor Riadynskyi to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYehor Riadynskyi above · Oleksandr Strutinskiy below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Yehor Riadynskyi at 58.7%
57 points played in total.
H2H Yehor Riadynskyi 55–40 Oleksandr Strutinskiy Oleksandr Strutinskiy has won 40 of their 95 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:33What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Riadynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
55-40 in 95
Riadynskyi
Correct
gap of 15 in 95, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Riadynskyi 1664 vs Strutinskiy 1634
Riadynskyi
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Riadynskyi 20% vs Strutinskiy 60%
Strutinskiy
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Riadynskyi 40% vs Strutinskiy 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Riadynskyi -2 · Strutinskiy -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Riadynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strutinskiy form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRiadynskyi 1.61 / Strutinskiy 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Riadynskyi)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12462010
Riadynskyi1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 201 of 312
Up 2–0, closes it92% 98 of 107
Up 1–0, closes it80% 146 of 183
Strutinskiy2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 61 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back18% 18 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRiadynskyi6wins
AwayStrutinskiy4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRiadynskyi leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRiadynskyi80%4 of 5
AwayStrutinskiy60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Riadynskyi5Strutinskiy5n = 10split evenly
S2Riadynskyi6Strutinskiy4n = 10Riadynskyi took 6 of 10
S3Riadynskyi6Strutinskiy4n = 10Riadynskyi took 6 of 10
S4Riadynskyi3Strutinskiy3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRiadynskyiStrutinskiyR − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.633.0+2.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRiadynskyiStrutinskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime416 / 731 vs 392 / 76656.9%51.2%416 / 731 vs 392 / 766Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RiadynskyiRiadynskyi 1.61/Strutinskiy 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Riadynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Riadynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 10 · 17:30Y. Riadynskyi—1171091O. Strutinskiy—61112113
WAug 6 · 16:30Y. Riadynskyi—811115113O. Strutinskiy—11771172
WAug 4 · 12:20Y. Riadynskyi—11811113O. Strutinskiy—811241
LAug 3 · 12:30Y. Riadynskyi—94100O. Strutinskiy—1111123
WJul 23 · 12:00Y. Riadynskyi—81112113O. Strutinskiy—1131081
WJul 21 · 07:50Y. Riadynskyi—1111133O. Strutinskiy—89110
WJul 17 · 12:30Y. Riadynskyi—11119113O. Strutinskiy—861161
LJul 14 · 11:20Y. Riadynskyi—5540O. Strutinskiy—1111113
WJul 13 · 19:00Y. Riadynskyi—1111113O. Strutinskiy—6620
LJul 11 · 07:50Y. Riadynskyi—81111672O. Strutinskiy—118911113
Y. Riadynskyi10
LAug 28 · 12:20Y. Riadynskyi1.61131161162O. Strutinskiy2.201151113113LAug 28 · 10:20V. Savoliuk2.1011117113Y. Riadynskyi1.67881191WAug 28 · 09:20Y. Riadynskyi2.1091111113A. Zozulia1.67112691WAug 28 · 08:20A. Derevianko2.631258101Y. Riadynskyi1.44101111123LAug 28 · 06:50Y. Riadynskyi1.5761090E. Hrytsenko2.251112113LAug 20 · 18:00Y. Riadynskyi1.6751140V. Maksuta2.101113113WAug 20 · 16:30Y. Riadynskyi1.83116611113M. Deineha1.8351111792WAug 20 · 15:00Y. Riadynskyi1.80158119113M. Mrykh1.91131171192LAug 20 · 12:00Y. Riadynskyi1.5012670A. Derevianko2.501411113LAug 18 · 12:20Y. Riadynskyi1.61811911O. Strutinskiy2.2011411113
O. Strutinskiy10
WSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.101111113O. Strutinskiy1.676580LSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113LSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481WSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113WSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko1.80104111192O. Strutinskiy1.91121198113LSep 3 · 16:00E. Hrytsenko2.75411147113O. Strutinskiy1.40116121172WAug 28 · 12:20Y. Riadynskyi1.61131161162O. Strutinskiy2.201151113113WAug 18 · 12:20Y. Riadynskyi1.61811911O. Strutinskiy2.2011411113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.