TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031442
Played Aug 28Finished
Yehor Riadynskyi
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111012911––––
Evhenii Hrytsenko
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:12 and never touched — 57.9% is still 57.9%
Graded at full timeYehor Riadynskyi to win
57.9%
57.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYehor Riadynskyi above · Evhenii Hrytsenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 59 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Yehor Riadynskyi at 57.9%
59 points played in total.
H2H Yehor Riadynskyi 16–9 Evhenii Hrytsenko Evhenii Hrytsenko has won 9 of their 25 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:12What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Riadynskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-9 in 25
Riadynskyi
Wrong
gap of 7 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Riadynskyi 1673 vs Hrytsenko 1732
Hrytsenko
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Riadynskyi 60% vs Hrytsenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Riadynskyi 40% vs Hrytsenko 60%
Hrytsenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Riadynskyi -1 · Hrytsenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Riadynskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrytsenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRiadynskyi 1.57 / Hrytsenko 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Riadynskyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13031442
Riadynskyi1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 196 of 308
Up 2–0, closes it91% 94 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it79% 142 of 179
Hrytsenko2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 82 of 183
Down 0–1, comes back30% 27 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back15% 8 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRiadynskyi5wins
AwayHrytsenko5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRiadynskyi83.3%5 of 6
AwayHrytsenko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Riadynskyi6Hrytsenko4n = 10Riadynskyi took 6 of 10
S2Riadynskyi6Hrytsenko4n = 10Riadynskyi took 6 of 10
S3Riadynskyi5Hrytsenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Riadynskyi2Hrytsenko5n = 7Hrytsenko took 5 of 7
S5Riadynskyi3Hrytsenko3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRiadynskyiHrytsenkoR − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.439.0+1.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRiadynskyiHrytsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime412 / 726 vs 312 / 63456.8%49.2%412 / 726 vs 312 / 634Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RiadynskyiRiadynskyi 1.57/Hrytsenko 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Riadynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hrytsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 06:50Y. Riadynskyi—61090E. Hrytsenko—1112113
LAug 18 · 06:50Y. Riadynskyi—41191172E. Hrytsenko—113116113
WAug 17 · 12:00Y. Riadynskyi—111158113E. Hrytsenko—95111182
WAug 10 · 16:00Y. Riadynskyi—114146113E. Hrytsenko—511121142
WAug 4 · 06:50Y. Riadynskyi—123119113E. Hrytsenko—101191172
WAug 3 · 18:00Y. Riadynskyi—1111113E. Hrytsenko—8790
LJul 25 · 10:57Y. Riadynskyi—611971E. Hrytsenko—11711113
WJul 25 · 06:20Y. Riadynskyi—1111113E. Hrytsenko—9650
LJul 20 · 12:00Y. Riadynskyi—1211612102E. Hrytsenko—1021114123
LMay 30 · 11:20Y. Riadynskyi—99111192E. Hrytsenko—111176113
Y. Riadynskyi10
LAug 28 · 12:20Y. Riadynskyi1.61131161162O. Strutinskiy2.201151113113LAug 28 · 10:20V. Savoliuk2.1011117113Y. Riadynskyi1.67881191WAug 28 · 09:20Y. Riadynskyi2.1091111113A. Zozulia1.67112691WAug 28 · 08:20A. Derevianko2.631258101Y. Riadynskyi1.44101111123LAug 20 · 18:00Y. Riadynskyi1.6751140V. Maksuta2.101113113WAug 20 · 16:30Y. Riadynskyi1.83116611113M. Deineha1.8351111792WAug 20 · 15:00Y. Riadynskyi1.80158119113M. Mrykh1.91131171192WAug 20 · 13:30Y. Riadynskyi1.611111113O. Strutinskiy2.208790LAug 20 · 12:00Y. Riadynskyi1.5012670A. Derevianko2.501411113LAug 18 · 12:20Y. Riadynskyi1.61811911O. Strutinskiy2.2011411113
E. Hrytsenko10
WSep 4 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.8011119113I. Nitchenko1.91841131LSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481LSep 4 · 08:50Y. Opryshchenko1.9111119113E. Hrytsenko1.80571171LSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113WSep 4 · 06:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.20913381E. Hrytsenko1.61111111113WSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113WSep 3 · 16:00E. Hrytsenko2.75411147113O. Strutinskiy1.40116121172WSep 3 · 14:30E. Hrytsenko2.1012211113A. Derevianko1.671011991WSep 3 · 12:30E. Hrytsenko1.83119611113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351111842
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