TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13110981
Played Sep 11Finished
Andrii Derevianko
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191196118111012
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:57 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Derevianko above · Volodymyr Savoliuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 98 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 55.3%
98 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Derevianko 21–29 Volodymyr Savoliuk Andrii Derevianko has won 21 of their 50 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:57What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Savoliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-29 in 50
Savoliuk
Correct
gap of 8 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Derevianko 1690 vs Savoliuk 1655
Derevianko
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Derevianko 0% vs Savoliuk 40%
Savoliuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Derevianko 40% vs Savoliuk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Derevianko -5 · Savoliuk +1
Derevianko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Savoliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Savoliuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerevianko 2.20 / Savoliuk 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Savoliuk)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13110981
Derevianko2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 134 of 326
Down 0–1, comes back25% 47 of 190
Down 0–2, comes back11% 11 of 101
Savoliuk1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 121 of 183
Up 2–0, closes it91% 61 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it81% 87 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDerevianko6wins
AwaySavoliuk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDerevianko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDerevianko80%4 of 5
AwaySavoliuk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Derevianko5Savoliuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Derevianko5Savoliuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Derevianko7Savoliuk3n = 10Derevianko took 7 of 10
S4Derevianko2Savoliuk6n = 8Savoliuk took 6 of 8
S5Derevianko3Savoliuk0n = 3Derevianko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDereviankoSavoliukD − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.938.0+1.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDereviankoSavoliukBasisWin rate · lifetime460 / 972 vs 295 / 52547.3%56.2%460 / 972 vs 295 / 525Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SavoliukDerevianko 2.20/Savoliuk 1.61
Hit
What we said
55.3%
Savoliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Savoliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 14:00A. Derevianko—81111113V. Savoliuk—114881
WSep 7 · 18:30A. Derevianko—711116113V. Savoliuk—11961162
LSep 1 · 06:50A. Derevianko—6914101V. Savoliuk—111112123
WAug 31 · 18:30A. Derevianko—1112113V. Savoliuk—81060
LAug 28 · 11:50A. Derevianko—1011971V. Savoliuk—12911113
LAug 25 · 08:20A. Derevianko—1391131V. Savoliuk—15115113
LAug 24 · 14:30A. Derevianko—1112861V. Savoliuk—81411113
WAug 15 · 06:50A. Derevianko—115116173V. Savoliuk—611811152
WAug 14 · 18:00A. Derevianko—1111113V. Savoliuk—4970
WAug 11 · 06:20A. Derevianko—117611113V. Savoliuk—41111642
A. Derevianko10
LSep 11 · 07:20A. Derevianko2.50111196162I. Nitchenko1.50851111183LSep 11 · 05:50A. Derevianko1.8856111182O. Strutinskiy1.82111176113LSep 10 · 18:30O. Strutinskiy1.80111189113A. Derevianko1.9189111182LSep 10 · 17:30M. Deineha1.83391111133A. Derevianko1.83111195112LSep 10 · 16:00M. Mrykh2.1011127113A. Derevianko1.676101181WSep 10 · 14:00V. Savoliuk1.57114881A. Derevianko2.2581111113LSep 10 · 12:00I. Nitchenko1.731111113A. Derevianko2.007790WSep 8 · 11:50A. Derevianko1.731111133E. Hrytsenko2.0065110WSep 8 · 10:20A. Derevianko1.6111312113M. Mrykh2.208111041WSep 8 · 08:50A. Derevianko1.401111113O. Zhyrnov2.754650
V. Savoliuk10
WSep 12 · 10:20A. Zozulia4.007950V. Savoliuk1.221111113LSep 12 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.40981111132O. Zhyrnov2.75111188153WSep 12 · 08:20M. Mrykh2.106950V. Savoliuk1.671111113WSep 12 · 06:50V. Savoliuk2.1011117123Y. Riadynskyi1.673411101WSep 11 · 12:50V. Savoliuk1.50711711113I. Nitchenko2.5011411752WSep 11 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.0077100V. Savoliuk1.731111123WSep 11 · 07:50V. Savoliuk1.3391111113O. Strutinskiy3.25117911LSep 11 · 06:50M. Deineha2.2011118113V. Savoliuk1.61991181LSep 10 · 19:00V. Savoliuk1.4411711872M. Deineha2.63311911113LSep 10 · 14:00V. Savoliuk1.57114881A. Derevianko2.2581111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Derevianko
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V. Savoliuk
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