TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116935
Played Sep 12Finished
Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111210511117811
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Away
1.29
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:17 and never touched — 71.9% is still 71.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Strutinskiy to win
71.9%
71.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Zhyrnov above · Oleksandr Strutinskiy below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 95 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Strutinskiy at 71.9%
95 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Zhyrnov 8–33 Oleksandr Strutinskiy Oleksandr Zhyrnov has won 8 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:17What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Strutinskiy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-33 in 41
Strutinskiy
Correct
gap of 25 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zhyrnov 1767 vs Strutinskiy 1660
Zhyrnov
Wrong
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zhyrnov 80% vs Strutinskiy 40%
Zhyrnov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zhyrnov 70% vs Strutinskiy 50%
Zhyrnov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zhyrnov +2 · Strutinskiy -3
Strutinskiy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Strutinskiy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strutinskiy form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZhyrnov 3.50 / Strutinskiy 1.28
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Strutinskiy)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13116935
Zhyrnov3.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 73 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back20% 19 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 56
Strutinskiy1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 154 of 250
Up 2–0, closes it88% 78 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it74% 111 of 150
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZhyrnov1wins
AwayStrutinskiy9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStrutinskiy leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZhyrnov33.3%1 of 3
AwayStrutinskiy100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zhyrnov3Strutinskiy7n = 10Strutinskiy took 7 of 10
S2Zhyrnov3Strutinskiy7n = 10Strutinskiy took 7 of 10
S3Zhyrnov3Strutinskiy7n = 10Strutinskiy took 7 of 10
S4Zhyrnov1Strutinskiy5n = 6Strutinskiy took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricZhyrnovStrutinskiyZ − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.140.3−9.2per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZhyrnovStrutinskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime384 / 770 vs 409 / 79949.9%51.2%384 / 770 vs 409 / 799Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrutinskiyZhyrnov 3.50/Strutinskiy 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.9%
Strutinskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Strutinskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 12:50O. Zhyrnov—15127113O. Strutinskiy—13101191
LJun 19 · 09:20O. Zhyrnov—6101191O. Strutinskiy—11124113
LMay 12 · 06:20O. Zhyrnov—5360O. Strutinskiy—1111113
LApr 3 · 12:50O. Zhyrnov—118116102O. Strutinskiy—911711123
LMar 31 · 12:20O. Zhyrnov—671591O. Strutinskiy—111113113
LMar 30 · 18:20O. Zhyrnov—8660O. Strutinskiy—1111113
LMar 24 · 13:50O. Zhyrnov—5350O. Strutinskiy—1111113
LMar 23 · 21:20O. Zhyrnov—44110O. Strutinskiy—1111133
LMar 20 · 09:50O. Zhyrnov—12119982O. Strutinskiy—1091111113
LMar 19 · 21:50O. Zhyrnov—611781O. Strutinskiy—11711113
O. Zhyrnov10
WSep 12 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.40981111132O. Zhyrnov2.75111188153WSep 12 · 07:20A. Zozulia3.2591171172O. Zhyrnov1.33117119113LSep 12 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.531111113O. Zhyrnov2.389880WSep 10 · 17:10A. Zozulia1.9110490O. Zhyrnov1.801211113WSep 10 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.6364110O. Zhyrnov1.441111133WSep 10 · 14:40O. Kuzyshyn2.206590O. Zhyrnov1.611111113WSep 10 · 12:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.381112481O. Zhyrnov1.5351411113LSep 10 · 10:40V. Maksuta1.83119159113O. Zhyrnov1.83811131192WSep 8 · 12:50O. Zhyrnov3.7515127113O. Strutinskiy1.2513101191LSep 8 · 10:50E. Hrytsenko1.73711116113O. Zhyrnov2.0011991192
O. Strutinskiy10
LSep 12 · 09:50M. Mrykh1.83911911113O. Strutinskiy1.8311611862LSep 12 · 07:50Y. Riadynskyi1.67611119113O. Strutinskiy2.1011961162LSep 12 · 05:50A. Zozulia2.2011118113O. Strutinskiy1.61961181WSep 11 · 12:20M. Deineha1.67113101162O. Strutinskiy2.10811126113WSep 11 · 11:20I. Nitchenko1.83911491O. Strutinskiy1.8311811113WSep 11 · 09:50M. Mrykh1.80611111162O. Strutinskiy1.91119138113LSep 11 · 07:50V. Savoliuk1.3391111113O. Strutinskiy3.25117911WSep 11 · 05:50A. Derevianko1.8856111182O. Strutinskiy1.82111176113WSep 10 · 18:30O. Strutinskiy1.80111189113A. Derevianko1.9189111182LSep 8 · 12:50O. Zhyrnov3.7515127113O. Strutinskiy1.2513101191
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