TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116868
Played Sep 12Finished
Yehor Riadynskyi
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611119116911116
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:10 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeYehor Riadynskyi to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYehor Riadynskyi above · Oleksandr Strutinskiy below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 91 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Yehor Riadynskyi at 56.2%
91 points played in total.
H2H Yehor Riadynskyi 57–42 Oleksandr Strutinskiy Oleksandr Strutinskiy has won 42 of their 99 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:10What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Riadynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
57-42 in 99
Riadynskyi
Correct
gap of 15 in 99, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Riadynskyi 1662 vs Strutinskiy 1683
Strutinskiy
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Riadynskyi 40% vs Strutinskiy 60%
Strutinskiy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Riadynskyi 50% vs Strutinskiy 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Riadynskyi -3 · Strutinskiy -1
Riadynskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Riadynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strutinskiy form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRiadynskyi 1.67 / Strutinskiy 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Riadynskyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13116868
Riadynskyi1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 187 of 293
Up 2–0, closes it91% 90 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it79% 136 of 172
Strutinskiy2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 64 of 175
Down 0–1, comes back19% 19 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRiadynskyi6wins
AwayStrutinskiy4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRiadynskyi leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRiadynskyi66.7%4 of 6
AwayStrutinskiy50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Riadynskyi6Strutinskiy4n = 10Riadynskyi took 6 of 10
S2Riadynskyi6Strutinskiy4n = 10Riadynskyi took 6 of 10
S3Riadynskyi6Strutinskiy4n = 10Riadynskyi took 6 of 10
S4Riadynskyi2Strutinskiy5n = 7Strutinskiy took 5 of 7
S5Riadynskyi2Strutinskiy1n = 3Riadynskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRiadynskyiStrutinskiyR − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.236.0+2.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRiadynskyiStrutinskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime395 / 698 vs 409 / 79656.6%51.4%395 / 698 vs 409 / 796Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RiadynskyiRiadynskyi 1.67/Strutinskiy 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Riadynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Riadynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 12:20Y. Riadynskyi—131161162O. Strutinskiy—1151113113
WAug 20 · 13:30Y. Riadynskyi—1111113O. Strutinskiy—8790
LAug 18 · 12:20Y. Riadynskyi—811911O. Strutinskiy—11411113
WAug 17 · 17:30Y. Riadynskyi—119117113O. Strutinskiy—81191172
LAug 10 · 17:30Y. Riadynskyi—1171091O. Strutinskiy—61112113
WAug 6 · 16:30Y. Riadynskyi—811115113O. Strutinskiy—11771172
WAug 4 · 12:20Y. Riadynskyi—11811113O. Strutinskiy—811241
LAug 3 · 12:30Y. Riadynskyi—94100O. Strutinskiy—1111123
WJul 23 · 12:00Y. Riadynskyi—81112113O. Strutinskiy—1131081
WJul 21 · 07:50Y. Riadynskyi—1111133O. Strutinskiy—89110
Y. Riadynskyi10
LSep 12 · 06:50V. Savoliuk2.1011117123Y. Riadynskyi1.673411101LAug 28 · 12:20Y. Riadynskyi1.61131161162O. Strutinskiy2.201151113113LAug 28 · 10:20V. Savoliuk2.1011117113Y. Riadynskyi1.67881191WAug 28 · 09:20Y. Riadynskyi2.1091111113A. Zozulia1.67112691WAug 28 · 08:20A. Derevianko2.631258101Y. Riadynskyi1.44101111123LAug 28 · 06:50Y. Riadynskyi1.5761090E. Hrytsenko2.251112113LAug 20 · 18:00Y. Riadynskyi1.6751140V. Maksuta2.101113113WAug 20 · 16:30Y. Riadynskyi1.83116611113M. Deineha1.8351111792WAug 20 · 15:00Y. Riadynskyi1.80158119113M. Mrykh1.91131171192WAug 20 · 13:30Y. Riadynskyi1.611111113O. Strutinskiy2.208790
O. Strutinskiy10
LSep 12 · 05:50A. Zozulia2.2011118113O. Strutinskiy1.61961181WSep 11 · 12:20M. Deineha1.67113101162O. Strutinskiy2.10811126113WSep 11 · 11:20I. Nitchenko1.83911491O. Strutinskiy1.8311811113WSep 11 · 09:50M. Mrykh1.80611111162O. Strutinskiy1.91119138113LSep 11 · 07:50V. Savoliuk1.3391111113O. Strutinskiy3.25117911WSep 11 · 05:50A. Derevianko1.8856111182O. Strutinskiy1.82111176113WSep 10 · 18:30O. Strutinskiy1.80111189113A. Derevianko1.9189111182LSep 10 · 16:30I. Nitchenko2.101113113O. Strutinskiy1.6781170WAug 28 · 12:20Y. Riadynskyi1.61131161162O. Strutinskiy2.201151113113LAug 20 · 13:30Y. Riadynskyi1.611111113O. Strutinskiy2.208790
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