TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13130805
Played Sep 15Finished
Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114117411119––
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:52 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Zhyrnov above · Volodymyr Savoliuk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 68 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 67.9%
68 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Zhyrnov 7–18 Volodymyr Savoliuk Oleksandr Zhyrnov has won 7 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:52What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Savoliuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-18 in 25
Savoliuk
Wrong
gap of 11 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zhyrnov 1732 vs Savoliuk 1745
Savoliuk
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zhyrnov 40% vs Savoliuk 80%
Savoliuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zhyrnov 60% vs Savoliuk 90%
Savoliuk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zhyrnov -2 · Savoliuk +3
Savoliuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Savoliuk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZhyrnov 2.75 / Savoliuk 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Savoliuk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13130805
Zhyrnov2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 63 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back20% 16 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 49
Savoliuk1.40
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 120 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it92% 60 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it83% 85 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZhyrnov2wins
AwaySavoliuk8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSavoliuk leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZhyrnov33.3%2 of 6
AwaySavoliuk100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zhyrnov6Savoliuk4n = 10Zhyrnov took 6 of 10
S2Zhyrnov2Savoliuk8n = 10Savoliuk took 8 of 10
S3Zhyrnov2Savoliuk8n = 10Savoliuk took 8 of 10
S4Zhyrnov3Savoliuk5n = 8Savoliuk took 5 of 8
S5Zhyrnov2Savoliuk3n = 5Savoliuk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZhyrnovSavoliukZ − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.943.1−7.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZhyrnovSavoliukBasisWin rate · lifetime384 / 771 vs 303 / 53449.8%56.7%384 / 771 vs 303 / 534Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SavoliukZhyrnov 2.75/Savoliuk 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.9%
Savoliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zhyrnov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 09:20O. Zhyrnov53111188153V. Savoliuk52981111132
LMay 12 · 12:50O. Zhyrnov49111411942V. Savoliuk51616711113
LMar 17 · 11:50O. Zhyrnov23461121V. Savoliuk3711114113
LMar 16 · 19:50O. Zhyrnov54914111192V. Savoliuk551112138113
LMar 10 · 11:50O. Zhyrnov27113941V. Savoliuk4071111113
WMar 9 · 16:20O. Zhyrnov47117711113V. Savoliuk4141111872
LMar 6 · 08:20O. Zhyrnov237880V. Savoliuk331111113
LFeb 24 · 12:50O. Zhyrnov31116861V. Savoliuk4291111113
LJan 2 · 11:20O. Zhyrnov3611431172V. Savoliuk47611119103
LDec 12 · 11:50O. Zhyrnov163490V. Savoliuk331111113
O. Zhyrnov10
WSep 15 · 08:50A. Nazarov1.5019120O. Zhyrnov2.501111143LSep 12 · 12:50Y. Riadynskyi1.3011911113O. Zhyrnov3.40811891LSep 12 · 11:20O. Zhyrnov3.5091251182O. Strutinskiy1.281110117113WSep 12 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.40981111132O. Zhyrnov2.75111188153WSep 12 · 07:20A. Zozulia3.2591171172O. Zhyrnov1.33117119113LSep 12 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.531111113O. Zhyrnov2.389880WSep 10 · 17:10A. Zozulia1.9110490O. Zhyrnov1.801211113WSep 10 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.6364110O. Zhyrnov1.441111133WSep 10 · 14:40O. Kuzyshyn2.206590O. Zhyrnov1.611111113WSep 10 · 12:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.381112481O. Zhyrnov1.5351411113
V. Savoliuk10
WSep 15 · 05:50A. Nazarov2.20613117112V. Savoliuk1.611111511133WSep 12 · 12:20V. Savoliuk1.4411411113O. Strutinskiy2.63611631WSep 12 · 10:20A. Zozulia4.007950V. Savoliuk1.221111113LSep 12 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.40981111132O. Zhyrnov2.75111188153WSep 12 · 08:20M. Mrykh2.106950V. Savoliuk1.671111113WSep 12 · 06:50V. Savoliuk2.1011117123Y. Riadynskyi1.673411101WSep 11 · 12:50V. Savoliuk1.50711711113I. Nitchenko2.5011411752WSep 11 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.0077100V. Savoliuk1.731111123WSep 11 · 08:50A. Derevianko2.20111168102V. Savoliuk1.61991111123WSep 11 · 07:50V. Savoliuk1.3391111113O. Strutinskiy3.25117911
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