TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131219
Played Sep 15Finished
Anatolii Nazarov
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1119111214––––
Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:20 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Nazarov to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnatolii Nazarov above · Oleksandr Zhyrnov below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 58 set 3, 12-14 — our read held Anatolii Nazarov at 63.7%
58 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Nazarov 28–14 Oleksandr Zhyrnov Oleksandr Zhyrnov has won 14 of their 42 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:20What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Nazarov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-14 in 42
Nazarov
Wrong
gap of 14 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nazarov 1677 vs Zhyrnov 1745
Zhyrnov
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nazarov 60% vs Zhyrnov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nazarov 40% vs Zhyrnov 70%
Zhyrnov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nazarov +1 · Zhyrnov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Nazarov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zhyrnov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNazarov 1.50 / Zhyrnov 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Nazarov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13131219
Nazarov1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 49 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it78% 31 of 40
Zhyrnov2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 63 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back20% 16 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNazarov5wins
AwayZhyrnov5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNazarov80%4 of 5
AwayZhyrnov80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nazarov5Zhyrnov5n = 10split evenly
S2Nazarov4Zhyrnov6n = 10Zhyrnov took 6 of 10
S3Nazarov7Zhyrnov3n = 10Nazarov took 7 of 10
S4Nazarov3Zhyrnov2n = 5Nazarov took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNazarovZhyrnovN − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.332.4+1.9per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNazarovZhyrnovBasisWin rate · lifetime355 / 648 vs 382 / 76854.8%49.7%355 / 648 vs 382 / 768Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NazarovNazarov 1.50/Zhyrnov 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Nazarov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zhyrnov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 18 · 19:50A. Nazarov331111113O. Zhyrnov156540
WMay 7 · 18:50A. Nazarov331111113O. Zhyrnov217860
LApr 16 · 20:50A. Nazarov31117761O. Zhyrnov4071111113
LMar 30 · 15:20A. Nazarov311131161O. Zhyrnov3813113113
WMar 23 · 16:20A. Nazarov3811511113O. Zhyrnov33611881
WMar 19 · 18:50A. Nazarov351113113O. Zhyrnov2551190
LMar 16 · 18:20A. Nazarov27101070O. Zhyrnov351212113
LMar 9 · 18:20A. Nazarov2610880O. Zhyrnov341211113
WMar 5 · 19:20A. Nazarov4181111113O. Zhyrnov30113971
LFeb 20 · 13:10A. Nazarov481151111102O. Zhyrnov53131198123
A. Nazarov10
WSep 15 · 07:20A. Nazarov1.571112113I. Nitchenko2.2581030LSep 15 · 05:50A. Nazarov2.20613117112V. Savoliuk1.611111511133WSep 14 · 18:00A. Nazarov1.801111113M. Mrykh1.918840WSep 14 · 16:30A. Nazarov2.00511511113M. Deineha1.7311911992LSep 14 · 15:00A. Nazarov1.73117381A. Derevianko2.0061111113WSep 14 · 13:30A. Nazarov1.36711511113E. Hrytsenko3.0011811962LSep 14 · 12:00A. Nazarov2.10121190O. Strutinskiy1.671413113LSep 1 · 12:50A. Derevianko1.9115511113A. Nazarov1.801311861LSep 1 · 11:20A. Nazarov2.1011121111102O. Strutinskiy1.679101313123LSep 1 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.611111113A. Nazarov2.202940
O. Zhyrnov10
WSep 15 · 07:50O. Zhyrnov2.7511114113V. Savoliuk1.40471191LSep 12 · 12:50Y. Riadynskyi1.3011911113O. Zhyrnov3.40811891LSep 12 · 11:20O. Zhyrnov3.5091251182O. Strutinskiy1.281110117113WSep 12 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.40981111132O. Zhyrnov2.75111188153WSep 12 · 07:20A. Zozulia3.2591171172O. Zhyrnov1.33117119113LSep 12 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.531111113O. Zhyrnov2.389880WSep 10 · 17:10A. Zozulia1.9110490O. Zhyrnov1.801211113WSep 10 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.6364110O. Zhyrnov1.441111133WSep 10 · 14:40O. Kuzyshyn2.206590O. Zhyrnov1.611111113WSep 10 · 12:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.381112481O. Zhyrnov1.5351411113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.