TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126341
Played Sep 14Finished
Anatolii Nazarov
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118114––––
Maksym Mrykh
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Nazarov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Nazarov above · Maksym Mrykh below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 53 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Anatolii Nazarov at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Nazarov 8–8 Maksym Mrykh Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:21What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Nazarov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nazarov 1661 vs Mrykh 1647
Nazarov
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nazarov 40% vs Mrykh 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nazarov 40% vs Mrykh 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nazarov +1 · Mrykh -3
Mrykh
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nazarov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrykh form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNazarov 1.80 / Mrykh 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Nazarov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13126341
Nazarov1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 47 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it79% 30 of 38
Mrykh1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 33 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back13% 5 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNazarov4wins
AwayMrykh6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMrykh leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNazarov75%3 of 4
AwayMrykh83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nazarov4Mrykh6n = 10Mrykh took 6 of 10
S2Nazarov5Mrykh5n = 10split evenly
S3Nazarov6Mrykh4n = 10Nazarov took 6 of 10
S4Nazarov3Mrykh4n = 7Mrykh took 4 of 7
S5Nazarov2Mrykh3n = 5Mrykh took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNazarovMrykhN − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.539.1+0.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNazarovMrykhBasisWin rate · lifetime353 / 645 vs 222 / 48054.7%46.3%353 / 645 vs 222 / 480Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NazarovNazarov 1.80/Mrykh 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Nazarov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Nazarov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 06:20A. Nazarov52991112113M. Mrykh47111161092
LAug 1 · 11:20A. Nazarov46111191142M. Mrykh43133115113
LJul 27 · 16:30A. Nazarov42411121052M. Mrykh511171012113
LMar 6 · 09:00A. Nazarov38981561M. Mrykh46111113113
LFeb 27 · 15:50A. Nazarov3911411852M. Mrykh45711511113
WFeb 20 · 15:40A. Nazarov55119911153M. Mrykh45211118132
LFeb 18 · 09:50A. Nazarov2367100M. Mrykh341111123
WFeb 17 · 21:50A. Nazarov341111123M. Mrykh2569100
WFeb 16 · 18:10A. Nazarov341211113M. Mrykh2210660
LFeb 7 · 11:05A. Nazarov32811671M. Mrykh3311011113
A. Nazarov10
WSep 14 · 16:30A. Nazarov2.00511511113M. Deineha1.7311911992LSep 14 · 15:00A. Nazarov1.73117381A. Derevianko2.0061111113WSep 14 · 13:30A. Nazarov1.36711511113E. Hrytsenko3.0011811962LSep 14 · 12:00A. Nazarov2.10121190O. Strutinskiy1.671413113LSep 1 · 12:50A. Derevianko1.9115511113A. Nazarov1.801311861LSep 1 · 11:20A. Nazarov2.1011121111102O. Strutinskiy1.679101313123LSep 1 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.611111113A. Nazarov2.202940LSep 1 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko1.6711114113A. Nazarov2.10431141WSep 1 · 06:20M. Mrykh2.00111161092A. Nazarov1.73991112113WAug 3 · 18:30A. Nazarov1.73159118113A. Derevianko2.00131131132
M. Mrykh10
LSep 14 · 17:00M. Mrykh2.20117991A. Derevianko1.6171111113LSep 14 · 16:00M. Mrykh1.831191111102O. Strutinskiy1.83131144123LSep 14 · 14:30M. Mrykh2.10661351M. Deineha1.67111111113WSep 14 · 12:30M. Mrykh1.6751112123E. Hrytsenko2.1011710101WSep 12 · 11:50A. Zozulia1.91711120M. Mrykh1.801113143WSep 12 · 10:50M. Mrykh1.8311117103Y. Riadynskyi1.83881191WSep 12 · 09:50M. Mrykh1.83911911113O. Strutinskiy1.8311611862LSep 12 · 08:20M. Mrykh2.106950V. Savoliuk1.671111113WSep 12 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.531111113O. Zhyrnov2.389880LSep 1 · 06:20M. Mrykh2.00111161092A. Nazarov1.73991112113
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