TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116874
Played Sep 12Finished
Maksym Mrykh
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118118711109––
Yehor Riadynskyi
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYehor Riadynskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Mrykh above · Yehor Riadynskyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 10-9
Point 75 set 4, 10-9 — our read held Yehor Riadynskyi at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Mrykh 4–3 Yehor Riadynskyi Yehor Riadynskyi has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:08What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Riadynskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrykh 1652 vs Riadynskyi 1683
Riadynskyi
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrykh 40% vs Riadynskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrykh 40% vs Riadynskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrykh +1 · Riadynskyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mrykh) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Riadynskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrykh 1.83 / Riadynskyi 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mrykh)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13116874
Mrykh1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Riadynskyi1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMrykh4wins
AwayRiadynskyi3wins
4 of 7 to a deciderMrykh leads 4–3, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrykh100%3 of 3
AwayRiadynskyi75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrykh3Riadynskyi4n = 7Riadynskyi took 4 of 7
S2Mrykh4Riadynskyi3n = 7Mrykh took 4 of 7
S3Mrykh4Riadynskyi3n = 7Mrykh took 4 of 7
S4Mrykh4Riadynskyi2n = 6Mrykh took 4 of 6
S5Mrykh2Riadynskyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricMrykhRiadynskyiM − RBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match44.644.1+0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrykhRiadynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 479 vs 397 / 70045.9%56.7%220 / 479 vs 397 / 700Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrykhMrykh 1.83/Riadynskyi 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mrykh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mrykh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 20 · 15:00M. Mrykh—131171192Y. Riadynskyi—158119113
WAug 18 · 08:20M. Mrykh—11811113Y. Riadynskyi—911581
LAug 6 · 13:00M. Mrykh—1011111352Y. Riadynskyi—1213611113
WJul 28 · 07:50M. Mrykh—8101111113Y. Riadynskyi—11129592
WJul 27 · 13:30M. Mrykh—1113123Y. Riadynskyi—811100
LJul 1 · 21:41M. Mrykh—412871Y. Riadynskyi—111011113
WJul 1 · 20:50M. Mrykh—1113710113Y. Riadynskyi—811111292
M. Mrykh10
WSep 12 · 11:50A. Zozulia1.91711120M. Mrykh1.801113143WSep 12 · 09:50M. Mrykh1.83911911113O. Strutinskiy1.8311611862LSep 12 · 08:20M. Mrykh2.106950V. Savoliuk1.671111113WSep 12 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.531111113O. Zhyrnov2.389880LSep 11 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.0077100V. Savoliuk1.731111123LSep 11 · 09:50M. Mrykh1.80611111162O. Strutinskiy1.91119138113WSep 11 · 08:20M. Mrykh2.251171122M. Deineha1.57911921LSep 11 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.7389111172I. Nitchenko2.00111148113LSep 10 · 18:00I. Nitchenko2.201111113M. Mrykh1.618890LSep 10 · 17:00M. Mrykh2.005121051V. Savoliuk1.73111012113
Y. Riadynskyi10
WSep 12 · 08:50A. Zozulia2.637790Y. Riadynskyi1.441111113WSep 12 · 07:50Y. Riadynskyi1.67611119113O. Strutinskiy2.1011961162LSep 12 · 06:50V. Savoliuk2.1011117123Y. Riadynskyi1.673411101LAug 28 · 12:20Y. Riadynskyi1.61131161162O. Strutinskiy2.201151113113LAug 28 · 10:20V. Savoliuk2.1011117113Y. Riadynskyi1.67881191WAug 28 · 09:20Y. Riadynskyi2.1091111113A. Zozulia1.67112691WAug 28 · 08:20A. Derevianko2.631258101Y. Riadynskyi1.44101111123LAug 28 · 06:50Y. Riadynskyi1.5761090E. Hrytsenko2.251112113LAug 20 · 18:00Y. Riadynskyi1.6751140V. Maksuta2.101113113WAug 20 · 16:30Y. Riadynskyi1.83116611113M. Deineha1.8351111792
Upcoming Matches
M. Mrykh
Nothing scheduled
Y. Riadynskyi
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