TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111094
Played Sep 11Finished
Maksym Mrykh
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 1
Set by set
11971111922––
Maksym Deineha
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:16 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeMaksym Deineha to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Mrykh above · Maksym Deineha below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 2-2
Point 62 set 4, 2-2 — our read held Maksym Deineha at 59.7%
62 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Mrykh 1–2 Maksym Deineha Maksym Mrykh has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Deineha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrykh 1658 vs Deineha 1732
Deineha
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrykh 40% vs Deineha 100%
Deineha
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrykh 30% vs Deineha 100%
Deineha
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrykh -3 · Deineha +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Deineha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Deineha form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrykh 2.25 / Deineha 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Deineha)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13111094
Mrykh2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 34 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back14% 5 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Deineha1.57
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 23 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMrykh1wins
AwayDeineha2wins
Deineha leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrykh2Deineha1n = 3Mrykh took 2 of 3
S2Mrykh2Deineha1n = 3Mrykh took 2 of 3
S3Mrykh1Deineha2n = 3Deineha took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMrykhDeinehaM − DBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match34.737.0−2.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrykhDeinehaBasisWin rate · lifetime217 / 473 vs 42 / 7045.9%60%217 / 473 vs 42 / 70Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DeinehaMrykh 2.25/Deineha 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Deineha · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–1
Mrykh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 10 · 12:30M. Mrykh—119891M. Deineha—81111113
WAug 21 · 11:50M. Mrykh—1113113M. Deineha—91180
LAug 20 · 13:00M. Mrykh—611871M. Deineha—11911113
M. Mrykh10
LSep 11 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.7389111172I. Nitchenko2.00111148113LSep 10 · 18:00I. Nitchenko2.201111113M. Mrykh1.618890LSep 10 · 17:00M. Mrykh2.005121051V. Savoliuk1.73111012113WSep 10 · 16:00M. Mrykh2.1011127113A. Derevianko1.676101181WSep 10 · 14:30M. Mrykh2.001311113O. Strutinskiy1.7311840LSep 10 · 12:30M. Mrykh2.00119891M. Deineha1.7381111113WSep 8 · 12:20M. Mrykh1.6111116113I. Nitchenko2.20981191LSep 8 · 10:20A. Derevianko1.6111312113M. Mrykh2.208111041LSep 8 · 09:20M. Mrykh1.805670O. Strutinskiy1.911111113LSep 8 · 08:20E. Hrytsenko2.501111113M. Mrykh1.506790
M. Deineha10
WSep 11 · 09:20M. Deineha1.4416413113I. Nitchenko2.6314111161WSep 11 · 06:50M. Deineha2.2011118113V. Savoliuk1.61991181WSep 10 · 19:00V. Savoliuk1.4411711872M. Deineha2.63311911113WSep 10 · 17:30M. Deineha1.83391111133A. Derevianko1.83111195112WSep 10 · 15:30O. Strutinskiy1.91111197102M. Deineha1.80981111123WSep 10 · 13:30I. Nitchenko2.108370M. Deineha1.671111113WSep 10 · 12:30M. Mrykh2.00119891M. Deineha1.7381111113WSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152WSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113WSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103
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