TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106882
Played Sep 10Finished
Ivan Nitchenko
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118119––––
Maksym Mrykh
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:13 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeMaksym Mrykh to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Nitchenko above · Maksym Mrykh below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 58 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Maksym Mrykh at 59.3%
58 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Nitchenko 0–5 Maksym Mrykh Ivan Nitchenko has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:13What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Mrykh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Mrykh
Wrong
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nitchenko 1598 vs Mrykh 1687
Mrykh
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nitchenko 60% vs Mrykh 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nitchenko 40% vs Mrykh 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nitchenko +2 · Mrykh -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Mrykh) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nitchenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNitchenko 2.20 / Mrykh 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Mrykh)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13106882
Nitchenko2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 42 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back25% 14 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33
Mrykh1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 58 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it76% 40 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeNitchenko0wins
AwayMrykh5wins
2 of 5 to a deciderMrykh leads 5–0, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNitchenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMrykh100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nitchenko1Mrykh4n = 5Mrykh took 4 of 5
S2Nitchenko1Mrykh4n = 5Mrykh took 4 of 5
S3Nitchenko4Mrykh1n = 5Nitchenko took 4 of 5
S4Nitchenko0Mrykh4n = 4Mrykh took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricNitchenkoMrykhN − MBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match38.045.6−7.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNitchenkoMrykhBasisWin rate · lifetime190 / 391 vs 217 / 47148.6%46.1%190 / 391 vs 217 / 471Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrykhNitchenko 2.20/Mrykh 1.61
Miss
What we said
60.1%
Mrykh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Nitchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 8 · 12:20I. Nitchenko—981191M. Mrykh—11116113
LAug 21 · 06:20I. Nitchenko—711115192M. Mrykh—119711213
LJul 28 · 06:50I. Nitchenko—117113122M. Mrykh—711611143
LApr 20 · 11:40I. Nitchenko—3590M. Mrykh—1111113
LFeb 20 · 18:10I. Nitchenko—7141261M. Mrykh—111610113
I. Nitchenko10
WSep 10 · 16:30I. Nitchenko2.101113113O. Strutinskiy1.6781170WSep 10 · 15:00I. Nitchenko2.63381511143V. Savoliuk1.441111138122LSep 10 · 13:30I. Nitchenko2.108370M. Deineha1.671111113WSep 10 · 12:00I. Nitchenko1.731111113A. Derevianko2.007790LSep 8 · 12:20M. Mrykh1.6111116113I. Nitchenko2.20981191LSep 8 · 11:20O. Strutinskiy1.8311711113I. Nitchenko1.83711591LSep 8 · 09:50E. Hrytsenko1.73139711123I. Nitchenko2.001111111102WSep 8 · 07:50O. Zhyrnov2.20111010101I. Nitchenko1.6171212123LSep 8 · 05:50A. Derevianko2.25513116113I. Nitchenko1.57111141182LSep 4 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.8011119113I. Nitchenko1.91841131
M. Mrykh10
LSep 10 · 17:00M. Mrykh2.005121051V. Savoliuk1.73111012113WSep 10 · 16:00M. Mrykh2.1011127113A. Derevianko1.676101181WSep 10 · 14:30M. Mrykh2.001311113O. Strutinskiy1.7311840LSep 10 · 12:30M. Mrykh2.00119891M. Deineha1.7381111113WSep 8 · 12:20M. Mrykh1.6111116113I. Nitchenko2.20981191LSep 8 · 10:20A. Derevianko1.6111312113M. Mrykh2.208111041LSep 8 · 09:20M. Mrykh1.805670O. Strutinskiy1.911111113LSep 8 · 08:20E. Hrytsenko2.501111113M. Mrykh1.506790LSep 8 · 06:50M. Mrykh1.44116591O. Zhyrnov2.6341111113WSep 7 · 19:00M. Mrykh2.001211113O. Strutinskiy1.7310430
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.