TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111037
Played Sep 11Finished
Maksym Deineha
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
16144111311116––
Ivan Nitchenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:07 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeMaksym Deineha to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Deineha above · Ivan Nitchenko below
Set 1 · 16-14
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 86 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Maksym Deineha at 65.3%
86 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Deineha 2–0 Ivan Nitchenko Ivan Nitchenko has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:07What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Deineha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Deineha 1732 vs Nitchenko 1641
Deineha
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Deineha 100% vs Nitchenko 100%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Deineha 100% vs Nitchenko 60%
Deineha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Deineha +5 · Nitchenko +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Deineha) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nitchenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDeineha 1.44 / Nitchenko 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Deineha)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13111037
Deineha1.44
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 23 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Nitchenko2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 45 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back26% 15 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back15% 5 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeDeineha2wins
AwayNitchenko0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderDeineha leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricDeinehaNitchenkoD − NBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match40.030.0+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDeinehaNitchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 70 vs 193 / 39460%49%42 / 70 vs 193 / 394Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DeinehaDeineha 1.44/Nitchenko 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Deineha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Deineha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 10 · 13:30M. Deineha—1111113I. Nitchenko—8370
WAug 21 · 07:20M. Deineha—611811113I. Nitchenko—11911292
M. Deineha10
LSep 11 · 08:20M. Mrykh2.251171122M. Deineha1.57911921WSep 11 · 06:50M. Deineha2.2011118113V. Savoliuk1.61991181WSep 10 · 19:00V. Savoliuk1.4411711872M. Deineha2.63311911113WSep 10 · 17:30M. Deineha1.83391111133A. Derevianko1.83111195112WSep 10 · 15:30O. Strutinskiy1.91111197102M. Deineha1.80981111123WSep 10 · 13:30I. Nitchenko2.108370M. Deineha1.671111113WSep 10 · 12:30M. Mrykh2.00119891M. Deineha1.7381111113WSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152WSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113WSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103
I. Nitchenko10
WSep 11 · 07:20A. Derevianko2.50111196162I. Nitchenko1.50851111183WSep 11 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.7389111172I. Nitchenko2.00111148113WSep 10 · 18:00I. Nitchenko2.201111113M. Mrykh1.618890WSep 10 · 16:30I. Nitchenko2.101113113O. Strutinskiy1.6781170WSep 10 · 15:00I. Nitchenko2.63381511143V. Savoliuk1.441111138122LSep 10 · 13:30I. Nitchenko2.108370M. Deineha1.671111113WSep 10 · 12:00I. Nitchenko1.731111113A. Derevianko2.007790LSep 8 · 12:20M. Mrykh1.6111116113I. Nitchenko2.20981191LSep 8 · 11:20O. Strutinskiy1.8311711113I. Nitchenko1.83711591LSep 8 · 09:50E. Hrytsenko1.73139711123I. Nitchenko2.001111111102
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