TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126776
Played Sep 14Finished
Maksym Mrykh
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
51111712101210––
Evhenii Hrytsenko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Mrykh to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Mrykh above · Evhenii Hrytsenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 78 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Maksym Mrykh at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Mrykh 8–7 Evhenii Hrytsenko Evhenii Hrytsenko has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:07What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Mrykh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-7 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrykh 1665 vs Hrytsenko 1725
Hrytsenko
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrykh 80% vs Hrytsenko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrykh 50% vs Hrytsenko 70%
Hrytsenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrykh +3 · Hrytsenko -1
Mrykh
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mrykh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrytsenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrykh 1.67 / Hrytsenko 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mrykh)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13126776
Mrykh1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 54 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it93% 28 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it79% 38 of 48
Hrytsenko2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 80 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back29% 28 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back16% 9 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrykh6wins
AwayHrytsenko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMrykh leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrykh80%4 of 5
AwayHrytsenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrykh5Hrytsenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Mrykh8Hrytsenko2n = 10Mrykh took 8 of 10
S3Mrykh7Hrytsenko3n = 10Mrykh took 7 of 10
S4Mrykh3Hrytsenko2n = 5Mrykh took 3 of 5
S5Mrykh1Hrytsenko3n = 4Hrytsenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrykhHrytsenkoM − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.535.2+0.3per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrykhHrytsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 476 vs 325 / 65446.4%49.7%221 / 476 vs 325 / 654Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrykhMrykh 1.67/Hrytsenko 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mrykh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mrykh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 08:20M. Mrykh226790E. Hrytsenko331111113
LSep 7 · 15:00M. Mrykh4171181142E. Hrytsenko47117117113
WAug 21 · 08:20M. Mrykh331111113E. Hrytsenko239860
LAug 18 · 10:50M. Mrykh4211114882E. Hrytsenko48781111113
WJul 19 · 08:00M. Mrykh451111111113E. Hrytsenko4813891172
WJul 14 · 10:40M. Mrykh331111113E. Hrytsenko247890
WJul 9 · 13:10M. Mrykh3631111113E. Hrytsenko31116951
LJul 8 · 16:40M. Mrykh3632111282E. Hrytsenko521111910113
WJul 2 · 14:10M. Mrykh331111113E. Hrytsenko195590
WJun 18 · 16:40M. Mrykh341112113E. Hrytsenko2781090
M. Mrykh10
WSep 12 · 11:50A. Zozulia1.91711120M. Mrykh1.801113143WSep 12 · 10:50M. Mrykh1.8311117103Y. Riadynskyi1.83881191WSep 12 · 09:50M. Mrykh1.83911911113O. Strutinskiy1.8311611862LSep 12 · 08:20M. Mrykh2.106950V. Savoliuk1.671111113WSep 12 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.531111113O. Zhyrnov2.389880LSep 11 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.0077100V. Savoliuk1.731111123LSep 11 · 09:50M. Mrykh1.80611111162O. Strutinskiy1.91119138113WSep 11 · 08:20M. Mrykh2.251171122M. Deineha1.57911921LSep 11 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.7389111172I. Nitchenko2.00111148113LSep 10 · 18:00I. Nitchenko2.201111113M. Mrykh1.618890
E. Hrytsenko10
LSep 8 · 11:50A. Derevianko1.731111133E. Hrytsenko2.0065110WSep 8 · 10:50E. Hrytsenko1.73711116113O. Zhyrnov2.0011991192WSep 8 · 09:50E. Hrytsenko1.73139711123I. Nitchenko2.001111111102WSep 8 · 08:20E. Hrytsenko2.501111113M. Mrykh1.506790WSep 8 · 06:20E. Hrytsenko2.63611311113O. Strutinskiy1.4411411772WSep 7 · 18:00E. Hrytsenko1.80128712113V. Maksuta1.911011111082WSep 7 · 16:30E. Hrytsenko2.105101113143A. Derevianko1.671112611122WSep 7 · 15:00E. Hrytsenko2.63117117113M. Mrykh1.4471181142LSep 7 · 13:30E. Hrytsenko2.63111080O. Strutinskiy1.441312113LSep 7 · 12:00E. Hrytsenko3.25117321V. Savoliuk1.3361111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Mrykh
E. Hrytsenko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.