TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126536
Played Sep 14Finished
Anatolii Nazarov
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511119511119119
Maksym Deineha
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Deineha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnatolii Nazarov above · Maksym Deineha below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 92 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Maksym Deineha at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:07What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Deineha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Nazarov 1648 vs Deineha 1736
Deineha
Wrong
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nazarov 20% vs Deineha 60%
Deineha
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nazarov 40% vs Deineha 70%
Deineha
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nazarov -1 · Deineha +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Deineha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nazarov form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNazarov 2.00 / Deineha 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Deineha)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13126536
Nazarov2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 41 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back23% 18 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43
Deineha1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 21 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNazarovDeinehaBasisWin rate · lifetime352 / 644 vs 45 / 7654.7%59.2%352 / 644 vs 45 / 76Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DeinehaNazarov 2.00/Deineha 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Deineha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Nazarov won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Nazarov10
LSep 14 · 15:00A. Nazarov1.73117381A. Derevianko2.0061111113WSep 14 · 13:30A. Nazarov1.36711511113E. Hrytsenko3.0011811962LSep 14 · 12:00A. Nazarov2.10121190O. Strutinskiy1.671413113LSep 1 · 12:50A. Derevianko1.9115511113A. Nazarov1.801311861LSep 1 · 11:20A. Nazarov2.1011121111102O. Strutinskiy1.679101313123LSep 1 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.611111113A. Nazarov2.202940LSep 1 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko1.6711114113A. Nazarov2.10431141WSep 1 · 06:20M. Mrykh2.00111161092A. Nazarov1.73991112113WAug 3 · 18:30A. Nazarov1.73159118113A. Derevianko2.00131131132WAug 3 · 16:30E. Hrytsenko2.634940A. Nazarov1.441111113
M. Deineha10
WSep 14 · 15:30M. Deineha1.5371111113E. Hrytsenko2.38119691WSep 14 · 14:30M. Mrykh2.10661351M. Deineha1.67111111113LSep 14 · 13:00M. Deineha1.807111251A. Derevianko1.91111310113LSep 11 · 12:20M. Deineha1.67113101162O. Strutinskiy2.10811126113WSep 11 · 09:20M. Deineha1.4416413113I. Nitchenko2.6314111161LSep 11 · 08:20M. Mrykh2.251171122M. Deineha1.57911921WSep 11 · 06:50M. Deineha2.2011118113V. Savoliuk1.61991181WSep 10 · 19:00V. Savoliuk1.4411711872M. Deineha2.63311911113WSep 10 · 17:30M. Deineha1.83391111133A. Derevianko1.83111195112WSep 10 · 15:30O. Strutinskiy1.91111197102M. Deineha1.80981111123
Upcoming Matches
A. Nazarov
Nothing scheduled
M. Deineha
Event Chatroom
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