TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126478
Played Sep 14Finished
Maksym Deineha
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711119116119––
Evhenii Hrytsenko
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:51 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeMaksym Deineha to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Deineha above · Evhenii Hrytsenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Maksym Deineha at 61.2%
75 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Deineha 4–2 Evhenii Hrytsenko Evhenii Hrytsenko has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Deineha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Deineha
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Deineha 1736 vs Hrytsenko 1688
Deineha
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Deineha 40% vs Hrytsenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Deineha 70% vs Hrytsenko 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Deineha +1 · Hrytsenko -3
Hrytsenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Deineha) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Deineha form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDeineha 1.53 / Hrytsenko 2.38
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Deineha)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13126478
Deineha1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 21 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Hrytsenko2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 80 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back29% 28 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back16% 9 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeDeineha4wins
AwayHrytsenko2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderDeineha leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDeineha75%3 of 4
AwayHrytsenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Deineha4Hrytsenko2n = 6Deineha took 4 of 6
S2Deineha4Hrytsenko2n = 6Deineha took 4 of 6
S3Deineha4Hrytsenko2n = 6Deineha took 4 of 6
S4Deineha2Hrytsenko3n = 5Hrytsenko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricDeinehaHrytsenkoD − HBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match41.339.5+1.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDeinehaHrytsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 76 vs 318 / 64359.2%49.5%45 / 76 vs 318 / 643Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DeinehaDeineha 1.53/Hrytsenko 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.8%
Deineha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Deineha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 14 · 15:30M. Deineha4071111113E. Hrytsenko35119691
WSep 3 · 17:00M. Deineha4411148113E. Hrytsenko315121131
LAug 24 · 13:30M. Deineha491110111072E. Hrytsenko51712912113
LAug 21 · 10:20M. Deineha365612131E. Hrytsenko47111110153
WAug 10 · 14:30M. Deineha331111113E. Hrytsenko279990
WJul 29 · 14:10M. Deineha46111176113E. Hrytsenko4699111162
M. Deineha10
WSep 14 · 14:30M. Mrykh2.10661351M. Deineha1.67111111113LSep 14 · 13:00M. Deineha1.807111251A. Derevianko1.91111310113LSep 11 · 12:20M. Deineha1.67113101162O. Strutinskiy2.10811126113WSep 11 · 09:20M. Deineha1.4416413113I. Nitchenko2.6314111161LSep 11 · 08:20M. Mrykh2.251171122M. Deineha1.57911921WSep 11 · 06:50M. Deineha2.2011118113V. Savoliuk1.61991181WSep 10 · 19:00V. Savoliuk1.4411711872M. Deineha2.63311911113WSep 10 · 17:30M. Deineha1.83391111133A. Derevianko1.83111195112WSep 10 · 15:30O. Strutinskiy1.91111197102M. Deineha1.80981111123WSep 10 · 13:30I. Nitchenko2.108370M. Deineha1.671111113
E. Hrytsenko10
LSep 14 · 13:30A. Nazarov1.36711511113E. Hrytsenko3.0011811962LSep 14 · 12:30M. Mrykh1.6751112123E. Hrytsenko2.1011710101LSep 8 · 11:50A. Derevianko1.731111133E. Hrytsenko2.0065110WSep 8 · 10:50E. Hrytsenko1.73711116113O. Zhyrnov2.0011991192WSep 8 · 09:50E. Hrytsenko1.73139711123I. Nitchenko2.001111111102WSep 8 · 08:20E. Hrytsenko2.501111113M. Mrykh1.506790WSep 8 · 06:20E. Hrytsenko2.63611311113O. Strutinskiy1.4411411772WSep 7 · 18:00E. Hrytsenko1.80128712113V. Maksuta1.911011111082WSep 7 · 16:30E. Hrytsenko2.105101113143A. Derevianko1.671112611122WSep 7 · 15:00E. Hrytsenko2.63117117113M. Mrykh1.4471181142
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