TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13130843
Played Sep 15Finished
Anatolii Nazarov
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181210113––––
Ivan Nitchenko
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:52 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Nazarov to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Nazarov above · Ivan Nitchenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 55 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Anatolii Nazarov at 60.5%
55 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Nazarov 6–2 Ivan Nitchenko Ivan Nitchenko has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:52What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Nazarov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Nazarov
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nazarov 1677 vs Nitchenko 1609
Nazarov
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nazarov 60% vs Nitchenko 40%
Nazarov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nazarov 30% vs Nitchenko 60%
Nitchenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nazarov -1 · Nitchenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Nazarov)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNazarov 1.57 / Nitchenko 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Nazarov)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13130843
Nazarov1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 49 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it78% 31 of 40
Nitchenko2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 40 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back25% 13 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back16% 5 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeNazarov6wins
AwayNitchenko2wins
1 of 8 to a deciderNazarov leads 6–2, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNazarov83.3%5 of 6
AwayNitchenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nazarov6Nitchenko2n = 8Nazarov took 6 of 8
S2Nazarov5Nitchenko3n = 8Nazarov took 5 of 8
S3Nazarov5Nitchenko3n = 8Nazarov took 5 of 8
S4Nazarov3Nitchenko2n = 5Nazarov took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricNazarovNitchenkoNazarov − NitchenkoBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match38.531.6+6.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNazarovNitchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime355 / 648 vs 194 / 39954.8%48.6%355 / 648 vs 194 / 399Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NazarovNazarov 1.57/Nitchenko 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Nazarov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Nazarov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 15 · 07:20A. Nazarov341112113I. Nitchenko2181030
WJul 17 · 13:00A. Nazarov4251511113I. Nitchenko391113961
WMay 5 · 08:50A. Nazarov60126823113I. Nitchenko621011112192
LMay 1 · 07:50A. Nazarov344111091I. Nitchenko4011612113
WMar 19 · 12:10A. Nazarov331111113I. Nitchenko177820
LMar 13 · 07:05A. Nazarov30117751I. Nitchenko3851111113
WMar 7 · 09:35A. Nazarov4211911113I. Nitchenko23411531
WFeb 20 · 14:10A. Nazarov331111113I. Nitchenko133370
A. Nazarov10
LSep 15 · 05:50A. Nazarov2.20613117112V. Savoliuk1.611111511133WSep 14 · 18:00A. Nazarov1.801111113M. Mrykh1.918840WSep 14 · 16:30A. Nazarov2.00511511113M. Deineha1.7311911992LSep 14 · 15:00A. Nazarov1.73117381A. Derevianko2.0061111113WSep 14 · 13:30A. Nazarov1.36711511113E. Hrytsenko3.0011811962LSep 14 · 12:00A. Nazarov2.10121190O. Strutinskiy1.671413113LSep 1 · 12:50A. Derevianko1.9115511113A. Nazarov1.801311861LSep 1 · 11:20A. Nazarov2.1011121111102O. Strutinskiy1.679101313123LSep 1 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.611111113A. Nazarov2.202940LSep 1 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko1.6711114113A. Nazarov2.10431141
I. Nitchenko10
WSep 15 · 06:20O. Strutinskiy1.739680I. Nitchenko2.001111113LSep 11 · 12:50V. Savoliuk1.50711711113I. Nitchenko2.5011411752LSep 11 · 11:20I. Nitchenko1.83911491O. Strutinskiy1.8311811113LSep 11 · 09:20M. Deineha1.4416413113I. Nitchenko2.6314111161WSep 11 · 07:20A. Derevianko2.50111196162I. Nitchenko1.50851111183WSep 11 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.7389111172I. Nitchenko2.00111148113WSep 10 · 18:00I. Nitchenko2.201111113M. Mrykh1.618890WSep 10 · 16:30I. Nitchenko2.101113113O. Strutinskiy1.6781170WSep 10 · 15:00I. Nitchenko2.63381511143V. Savoliuk1.441111138122LSep 10 · 13:30I. Nitchenko2.108370M. Deineha1.671111113
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