TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13130815
Played Sep 15Finished
Anatolii Nazarov
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
61113111157111113
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:54 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Nazarov above · Volodymyr Savoliuk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 99 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 58.5%
99 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Nazarov 37–49 Volodymyr Savoliuk Anatolii Nazarov has won 37 of their 86 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Savoliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-49 in 86
Savoliuk
Correct
gap of 12 in 86, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nazarov 1674 vs Savoliuk 1737
Savoliuk
Correct
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nazarov 60% vs Savoliuk 80%
Savoliuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nazarov 40% vs Savoliuk 80%
Savoliuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nazarov +2 · Savoliuk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Savoliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Savoliuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNazarov 2.20 / Savoliuk 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Savoliuk)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13130815
Nazarov2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 42 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back24% 19 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 44
Savoliuk1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 120 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it92% 60 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it83% 85 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNazarov4wins
AwaySavoliuk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSavoliuk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNazarov60%3 of 5
AwaySavoliuk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nazarov5Savoliuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Nazarov5Savoliuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Nazarov4Savoliuk6n = 10Savoliuk took 6 of 10
S4Nazarov5Savoliuk2n = 7Nazarov took 5 of 7
S5Nazarov0Savoliuk3n = 3Savoliuk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNazarovSavoliukN − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.138.8−0.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNazarovSavoliukBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 646 vs 302 / 53354.8%56.7%354 / 646 vs 302 / 533Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SavoliukNazarov 2.20/Savoliuk 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Savoliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Savoliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 09:20A. Nazarov152940V. Savoliuk331111113
WJul 20 · 13:00A. Nazarov4011117113V. Savoliuk32581181
WJul 17 · 15:00A. Nazarov47101115113V. Savoliuk371261361
WJul 13 · 18:30A. Nazarov351113113V. Savoliuk2281130
LJun 15 · 16:20A. Nazarov29115761V. Savoliuk4071111113
LJun 11 · 16:20A. Nazarov54411169142V. Savoliuk581161411163
WJun 8 · 18:20A. Nazarov4111811113V. Savoliuk34811691
LMay 18 · 15:20A. Nazarov5216981182V. Savoliuk551411118113
LMay 11 · 20:50A. Nazarov259970V. Savoliuk331111113
LMay 5 · 07:20A. Nazarov4381171162V. Savoliuk44114117113
A. Nazarov10
WSep 14 · 18:00A. Nazarov1.801111113M. Mrykh1.918840WSep 14 · 16:30A. Nazarov2.00511511113M. Deineha1.7311911992LSep 14 · 15:00A. Nazarov1.73117381A. Derevianko2.0061111113WSep 14 · 13:30A. Nazarov1.36711511113E. Hrytsenko3.0011811962LSep 14 · 12:00A. Nazarov2.10121190O. Strutinskiy1.671413113LSep 1 · 12:50A. Derevianko1.9115511113A. Nazarov1.801311861LSep 1 · 11:20A. Nazarov2.1011121111102O. Strutinskiy1.679101313123LSep 1 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.611111113A. Nazarov2.202940LSep 1 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko1.6711114113A. Nazarov2.10431141WSep 1 · 06:20M. Mrykh2.00111161092A. Nazarov1.73991112113
V. Savoliuk10
WSep 12 · 12:20V. Savoliuk1.4411411113O. Strutinskiy2.63611631WSep 12 · 10:20A. Zozulia4.007950V. Savoliuk1.221111113LSep 12 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.40981111132O. Zhyrnov2.75111188153WSep 12 · 08:20M. Mrykh2.106950V. Savoliuk1.671111113WSep 12 · 06:50V. Savoliuk2.1011117123Y. Riadynskyi1.673411101WSep 11 · 12:50V. Savoliuk1.50711711113I. Nitchenko2.5011411752WSep 11 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.0077100V. Savoliuk1.731111123WSep 11 · 08:50A. Derevianko2.20111168102V. Savoliuk1.61991111123WSep 11 · 07:50V. Savoliuk1.3391111113O. Strutinskiy3.25117911WSep 1 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.611111113A. Nazarov2.202940
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