TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13130813
Played Sep 15Finished
Andrii Derevianko
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611811––––
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:51 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Derevianko above · Volodymyr Savoliuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 56 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 58.1%
56 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Derevianko 21–30 Volodymyr Savoliuk Andrii Derevianko has won 21 of their 51 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Savoliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-30 in 51
Savoliuk
Correct
gap of 9 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Derevianko 1716 vs Savoliuk 1729
Savoliuk
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Derevianko 80% vs Savoliuk 60%
Derevianko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Derevianko 60% vs Savoliuk 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Derevianko -1 · Savoliuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Savoliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Derevianko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerevianko 2.20 / Savoliuk 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Savoliuk)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13130813
Derevianko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 127 of 316
Down 0–1, comes back25% 45 of 184
Down 0–2, comes back11% 11 of 98
Savoliuk1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 120 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it92% 60 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it83% 85 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDerevianko5wins
AwaySavoliuk5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDerevianko60%3 of 5
AwaySavoliuk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Derevianko5Savoliuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Derevianko6Savoliuk4n = 10Derevianko took 6 of 10
S3Derevianko7Savoliuk3n = 10Derevianko took 7 of 10
S4Derevianko1Savoliuk7n = 8Savoliuk took 7 of 8
S5Derevianko2Savoliuk1n = 3Derevianko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDereviankoSavoliukD − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.939.6+0.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDereviankoSavoliukBasisWin rate · lifetime464 / 976 vs 304 / 53747.5%56.6%464 / 976 vs 304 / 537Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SavoliukDerevianko 2.20/Savoliuk 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Savoliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Savoliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 08:50A. Derevianko46111168102V. Savoliuk52991111123
WSep 10 · 14:00A. Derevianko4181111113V. Savoliuk31114881
WSep 7 · 18:30A. Derevianko46711116113V. Savoliuk4311961162
LSep 1 · 06:50A. Derevianko396914101V. Savoliuk46111112123
WAug 31 · 18:30A. Derevianko341112113V. Savoliuk2481060
LAug 28 · 11:50A. Derevianko371011971V. Savoliuk4312911113
LAug 25 · 08:20A. Derevianko361391131V. Savoliuk4215115113
LAug 24 · 14:30A. Derevianko371112861V. Savoliuk4481411113
WAug 15 · 06:50A. Derevianko50115116173V. Savoliuk51611811152
WAug 14 · 18:00A. Derevianko331111113V. Savoliuk204970
A. Derevianko10
LSep 15 · 10:20A. Nazarov1.73111298113A. Derevianko2.00510111192WSep 15 · 09:20A. Derevianko2.00115912113I. Nitchenko1.73811111082WSep 15 · 08:20O. Strutinskiy1.8071281172A. Derevianko1.911110116113WSep 14 · 19:00A. Derevianko1.6711126123E. Hrytsenko2.1041011101WSep 14 · 17:00M. Mrykh2.20117991A. Derevianko1.6171111113WSep 14 · 15:00A. Nazarov1.73117381A. Derevianko2.0061111113LSep 14 · 14:00A. Derevianko1.91611681O. Strutinskiy1.8011711113WSep 14 · 13:00M. Deineha1.807111251A. Derevianko1.91111310113LSep 11 · 08:50A. Derevianko2.20111168102V. Savoliuk1.61991111123LSep 11 · 07:20A. Derevianko2.50111196162I. Nitchenko1.50851111183
V. Savoliuk10
WSep 15 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.506440V. Savoliuk1.501111113LSep 15 · 09:50O. Strutinskiy2.75111011113V. Savoliuk1.40612491LSep 15 · 07:50O. Zhyrnov2.7511114113V. Savoliuk1.40471191WSep 15 · 05:50A. Nazarov2.20613117112V. Savoliuk1.611111511133WSep 12 · 12:20V. Savoliuk1.4411411113O. Strutinskiy2.63611631WSep 12 · 10:20A. Zozulia4.007950V. Savoliuk1.221111113LSep 12 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.40981111132O. Zhyrnov2.75111188153WSep 12 · 08:20M. Mrykh2.106950V. Savoliuk1.671111113WSep 12 · 06:50V. Savoliuk2.1011117123Y. Riadynskyi1.673411101WSep 11 · 08:50A. Derevianko2.20111168102V. Savoliuk1.61991111123
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