TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148313
Played Sep 18Finished
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611119711811––
Evhenii Hrytsenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:15 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Strutinskiy to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Strutinskiy above · Evhenii Hrytsenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Strutinskiy at 66.9%
74 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Strutinskiy 29–9 Evhenii Hrytsenko Evhenii Hrytsenko has won 9 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:15What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Strutinskiy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-9 in 38
Strutinskiy
Wrong
gap of 20 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strutinskiy 1690 vs Hrytsenko 1676
Strutinskiy
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strutinskiy 60% vs Hrytsenko 20%
Strutinskiy
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strutinskiy 60% vs Hrytsenko 40%
Strutinskiy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strutinskiy -1 · Hrytsenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Strutinskiy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrytsenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrutinskiy 1.44 / Hrytsenko 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Strutinskiy)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13148313
Strutinskiy1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 147 of 237
Up 2–0, closes it87% 76 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it74% 107 of 144
Hrytsenko2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 79 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back29% 28 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back16% 9 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrutinskiy7wins
AwayHrytsenko3wins
7 of 10 to a deciderStrutinskiy leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrutinskiy57.1%4 of 7
AwayHrytsenko0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strutinskiy7Hrytsenko3n = 10Strutinskiy took 7 of 10
S2Strutinskiy7Hrytsenko3n = 10Strutinskiy took 7 of 10
S3Strutinskiy5Hrytsenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Strutinskiy4Hrytsenko4n = 8split evenly
S5Strutinskiy4Hrytsenko3n = 7Strutinskiy took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrutinskiyHrytsenkoS − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.638.5+5.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrutinskiyHrytsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime414 / 803 vs 316 / 63751.6%49.6%414 / 803 vs 316 / 637Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrutinskiyStrutinskiy 1.44/Hrytsenko 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.9%
Strutinskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hrytsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 17:30O. Strutinskiy491011611113E. Hrytsenko4412811762
LSep 8 · 06:20O. Strutinskiy4011411772E. Hrytsenko42611311113
WSep 7 · 13:30O. Strutinskiy361312113E. Hrytsenko29111080
WSep 4 · 07:50O. Strutinskiy46118115113E. Hrytsenko4591191152
LSep 3 · 16:00O. Strutinskiy47116121172E. Hrytsenko47411147113
WAug 31 · 17:00O. Strutinskiy48111169113E. Hrytsenko2933111112
WAug 28 · 07:50O. Strutinskiy44412314113E. Hrytsenko501110111262
WAug 25 · 07:50O. Strutinskiy46121211113E. Hrytsenko341410551
LAug 24 · 12:00O. Strutinskiy47111181072E. Hrytsenko47491112113
WAug 21 · 06:50O. Strutinskiy331111113E. Hrytsenko189720
O. Strutinskiy10
LSep 18 · 13:00A. Derevianko2.00511711113O. Strutinskiy1.7311911942WSep 15 · 11:50A. Nazarov2.10411951O. Strutinskiy1.6711411113WSep 15 · 10:50O. Strutinskiy1.301111113O. Zhyrnov3.409840WSep 15 · 09:50O. Strutinskiy2.75111011113V. Savoliuk1.40612491LSep 15 · 08:20O. Strutinskiy1.8071281172A. Derevianko1.911110116113LSep 15 · 06:20O. Strutinskiy1.739680I. Nitchenko2.001111113LSep 14 · 18:30M. Deineha1.6714111111113O. Strutinskiy2.1016134782WSep 14 · 17:30E. Hrytsenko2.6312811762O. Strutinskiy1.441011611113WSep 14 · 16:00M. Mrykh1.831191111102O. Strutinskiy1.83131144123WSep 14 · 14:00A. Derevianko1.91611681O. Strutinskiy1.8011711113
E. Hrytsenko10
WSep 18 · 12:00I. Nitchenko2.00811111762E. Hrytsenko1.73118619113LSep 14 · 19:00A. Derevianko1.6711126123E. Hrytsenko2.1041011101LSep 14 · 17:30E. Hrytsenko2.6312811762O. Strutinskiy1.441011611113LSep 14 · 15:30M. Deineha1.5371111113E. Hrytsenko2.38119691LSep 14 · 13:30A. Nazarov1.36711511113E. Hrytsenko3.0011811962LSep 14 · 12:30M. Mrykh1.6751112123E. Hrytsenko2.1011710101LSep 8 · 11:50A. Derevianko1.731111133E. Hrytsenko2.0065110WSep 8 · 10:50E. Hrytsenko1.73711116113O. Zhyrnov2.0011991192WSep 8 · 09:50E. Hrytsenko1.73139711123I. Nitchenko2.001111111102WSep 8 · 08:20E. Hrytsenko2.501111113M. Mrykh1.506790
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