TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131311
Played Sep 15Finished
Anatolii Nazarov
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411114911511––
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:54 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Strutinskiy to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Nazarov above · Oleksandr Strutinskiy below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 66 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Oleksandr Strutinskiy at 56.2%
66 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Nazarov 45–81 Oleksandr Strutinskiy Anatolii Nazarov has won 45 of their 126 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:54What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Strutinskiy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-81 in 126
Strutinskiy
Correct
gap of 36 in 126, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nazarov 1669 vs Strutinskiy 1690
Strutinskiy
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nazarov 60% vs Strutinskiy 40%
Nazarov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nazarov 50% vs Strutinskiy 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nazarov +1 · Strutinskiy +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Strutinskiy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strutinskiy form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNazarov 2.10 / Strutinskiy 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Strutinskiy)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13131311
Nazarov2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 42 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back24% 19 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 44
Strutinskiy1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 149 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it87% 76 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it75% 108 of 145
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNazarov2wins
AwayStrutinskiy8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStrutinskiy leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNazarov50%2 of 4
AwayStrutinskiy100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nazarov4Strutinskiy6n = 10Strutinskiy took 6 of 10
S2Nazarov5Strutinskiy5n = 10split evenly
S3Nazarov4Strutinskiy6n = 10Strutinskiy took 6 of 10
S4Nazarov3Strutinskiy4n = 7Strutinskiy took 4 of 7
S5Nazarov0Strutinskiy4n = 4Strutinskiy took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNazarovStrutinskiyN − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.342.1−1.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNazarovStrutinskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime356 / 650 vs 416 / 81054.8%51.4%356 / 650 vs 416 / 810Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrutinskiyNazarov 2.10/Strutinskiy 1.67
Hit
What we said
56.2%
Strutinskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Strutinskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 12:00A. Nazarov32121190O. Strutinskiy381413113
LSep 1 · 11:20A. Nazarov5511121111102O. Strutinskiy579101313123
LAug 3 · 15:30A. Nazarov217590O. Strutinskiy331111113
LJul 23 · 18:30A. Nazarov35971181O. Strutinskiy4011117113
WJul 17 · 19:00A. Nazarov331111113O. Strutinskiy176290
LJul 13 · 15:30A. Nazarov51101114972O. Strutinskiy551291211113
LJul 9 · 14:30A. Nazarov49121181172O. Strutinskiy46148112113
LJul 6 · 18:30A. Nazarov4481251362O. Strutinskiy5411101111113
WJun 29 · 18:30A. Nazarov47111015113O. Strutinskiy376121361
LJun 25 · 20:50A. Nazarov361168111O. Strutinskiy4491111133
A. Nazarov10
WSep 15 · 10:20A. Nazarov1.73111298113A. Derevianko2.00510111192LSep 15 · 08:50A. Nazarov1.5019120O. Zhyrnov2.501111143WSep 15 · 07:20A. Nazarov1.571112113I. Nitchenko2.2581030LSep 15 · 05:50A. Nazarov2.20613117112V. Savoliuk1.611111511133WSep 14 · 18:00A. Nazarov1.801111113M. Mrykh1.918840WSep 14 · 16:30A. Nazarov2.00511511113M. Deineha1.7311911992LSep 14 · 15:00A. Nazarov1.73117381A. Derevianko2.0061111113WSep 14 · 13:30A. Nazarov1.36711511113E. Hrytsenko3.0011811962LSep 14 · 12:00A. Nazarov2.10121190O. Strutinskiy1.671413113LSep 1 · 12:50A. Derevianko1.9115511113A. Nazarov1.801311861
O. Strutinskiy10
WSep 15 · 10:50O. Strutinskiy1.301111113O. Zhyrnov3.409840WSep 15 · 09:50O. Strutinskiy2.75111011113V. Savoliuk1.40612491LSep 15 · 08:20O. Strutinskiy1.8071281172A. Derevianko1.911110116113LSep 15 · 06:20O. Strutinskiy1.739680I. Nitchenko2.001111113LSep 14 · 18:30M. Deineha1.6714111111113O. Strutinskiy2.1016134782WSep 14 · 17:30E. Hrytsenko2.6312811762O. Strutinskiy1.441011611113WSep 14 · 16:00M. Mrykh1.831191111102O. Strutinskiy1.83131144123WSep 14 · 14:00A. Derevianko1.91611681O. Strutinskiy1.8011711113WSep 14 · 12:00A. Nazarov2.10121190O. Strutinskiy1.671413113LSep 12 · 12:20V. Savoliuk1.4411411113O. Strutinskiy2.63611631
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