TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13130829
Played Sep 15Finished
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118114––––
Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:52 and never touched — 73.9% is still 73.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Strutinskiy to win
73.9%
73.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Strutinskiy above · Oleksandr Zhyrnov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 54 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Oleksandr Strutinskiy at 73.9%
54 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Strutinskiy 34–8 Oleksandr Zhyrnov Oleksandr Zhyrnov has won 8 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:52What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Strutinskiy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-8 in 42
Strutinskiy
Correct
gap of 26 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strutinskiy 1672 vs Zhyrnov 1767
Zhyrnov
Wrong
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strutinskiy 40% vs Zhyrnov 60%
Zhyrnov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strutinskiy 60% vs Zhyrnov 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strutinskiy +1 · Zhyrnov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Strutinskiy) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zhyrnov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrutinskiy 1.30 / Zhyrnov 3.40
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Strutinskiy)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13130829
Strutinskiy1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 149 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it87% 76 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it75% 108 of 145
Zhyrnov3.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 63 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back20% 16 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrutinskiy9wins
AwayZhyrnov1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStrutinskiy leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrutinskiy100%7 of 7
AwayZhyrnov33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strutinskiy7Zhyrnov3n = 10Strutinskiy took 7 of 10
S2Strutinskiy7Zhyrnov3n = 10Strutinskiy took 7 of 10
S3Strutinskiy7Zhyrnov3n = 10Strutinskiy took 7 of 10
S4Strutinskiy4Zhyrnov2n = 6Strutinskiy took 4 of 6
S5Strutinskiy3Zhyrnov0n = 3Strutinskiy took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrutinskiyZhyrnovS − ZBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.332.4+8.9per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrutinskiyZhyrnovBasisWin rate · lifetime415 / 809 vs 383 / 76951.3%49.8%415 / 809 vs 383 / 769Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrutinskiyStrutinskiy 1.30/Zhyrnov 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.1%
Strutinskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Strutinskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 11:20O. Strutinskiy501110117113O. Zhyrnov4591251182
LSep 8 · 12:50O. Strutinskiy4313101191O. Zhyrnov4515127113
WJun 19 · 09:20O. Strutinskiy3811124113O. Zhyrnov366101191
WMay 12 · 06:20O. Strutinskiy331111113O. Zhyrnov145360
WApr 3 · 12:50O. Strutinskiy50911711123O. Zhyrnov46118116102
WMar 31 · 12:20O. Strutinskiy46111113113O. Zhyrnov37671591
WMar 30 · 18:20O. Strutinskiy331111113O. Zhyrnov208660
WMar 24 · 13:50O. Strutinskiy331111113O. Zhyrnov135350
WMar 23 · 21:20O. Strutinskiy351111133O. Zhyrnov1944110
WMar 20 · 09:50O. Strutinskiy521091111113O. Zhyrnov4912119982
O. Strutinskiy10
WSep 15 · 11:50A. Nazarov2.10411951O. Strutinskiy1.6711411113WSep 15 · 09:50O. Strutinskiy2.75111011113V. Savoliuk1.40612491LSep 15 · 08:20O. Strutinskiy1.8071281172A. Derevianko1.911110116113LSep 15 · 06:20O. Strutinskiy1.739680I. Nitchenko2.001111113LSep 14 · 18:30M. Deineha1.6714111111113O. Strutinskiy2.1016134782WSep 14 · 17:30E. Hrytsenko2.6312811762O. Strutinskiy1.441011611113WSep 14 · 16:00M. Mrykh1.831191111102O. Strutinskiy1.83131144123WSep 14 · 14:00A. Derevianko1.91611681O. Strutinskiy1.8011711113WSep 14 · 12:00A. Nazarov2.10121190O. Strutinskiy1.671413113LSep 12 · 12:20V. Savoliuk1.4411411113O. Strutinskiy2.63611631
O. Zhyrnov10
WSep 15 · 08:50A. Nazarov1.5019120O. Zhyrnov2.501111143WSep 15 · 07:50O. Zhyrnov2.7511114113V. Savoliuk1.40471191LSep 12 · 12:50Y. Riadynskyi1.3011911113O. Zhyrnov3.40811891LSep 12 · 11:20O. Zhyrnov3.5091251182O. Strutinskiy1.281110117113WSep 12 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.40981111132O. Zhyrnov2.75111188153WSep 12 · 07:20A. Zozulia3.2591171172O. Zhyrnov1.33117119113LSep 12 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.531111113O. Zhyrnov2.389880WSep 10 · 17:10A. Zozulia1.9110490O. Zhyrnov1.801211113WSep 10 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.6364110O. Zhyrnov1.441111133WSep 10 · 14:40O. Kuzyshyn2.206590O. Zhyrnov1.611111113
Upcoming Matches
O. Strutinskiy
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O. Zhyrnov
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