TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12415619
Played Aug 13Finished
Roman Pomin
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115811115711911
Ruslan Sopivnyk
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:32 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeRoman Pomin to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Pomin above · Ruslan Sopivnyk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 89 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Roman Pomin at 68.8%
89 points played in total.
H2H Roman Pomin 2–0 Ruslan Sopivnyk Ruslan Sopivnyk has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:32What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Pomin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pomin 1586 vs Sopivnyk 1635
Sopivnyk
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pomin 40% vs Sopivnyk 80%
Sopivnyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pomin 30% vs Sopivnyk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pomin -1 · Sopivnyk +4
Sopivnyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Pomin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sopivnyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPomin 1.36 / Sopivnyk 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Pomin)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12415619
Pomin1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 12 of 20
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Sopivnyk3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 53 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePomin2wins
AwaySopivnyk0wins
Pomin leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPominSopivnykP − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match39.030.5+8.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPominSopivnykBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 149 vs 172 / 35055%49.1%82 / 149 vs 172 / 350Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PominPomin 1.36/Sopivnyk 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.8%
Pomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sopivnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WMay 23 · 14:40R. Pomin331111113R. Sopivnyk228770
WApr 4 · 15:40R. Pomin4511911143R. Sopivnyk399117121
R. Pomin10
LAug 15 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.384101111123R. Pomin1.53111289102WAug 15 · 15:40R. Pomin1.61119911113Y. Holoborodko2.2091111682LAug 15 · 14:40R. Pomin1.507111091R. Sopivnyk2.5011812113WAug 15 · 13:10R. Pomin1.83811118133O. Varlamov1.83117811112WAug 15 · 11:10R. Pomin1.73111139113O. Blashkun2.0098111142WAug 13 · 16:40V. Merzlikin1.831171071R. Pomin1.8351112113LAug 13 · 15:40R. Pomin2.0011128872V. Maksuta1.736101111113LAug 13 · 13:10R. Pomin2.00147931A. Droshchynskyi1.73121111113WAug 13 · 11:10R. Pomin1.6711115113O. Blashkun2.10991191LAug 11 · 12:20R. Pomin2.205940O. Strutinskiy1.611111113
R. Sopivnyk10
LSep 6 · 11:30R. Sopivnyk1.803740O. Varlamov1.91111193WSep 6 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn1.50118941R. Sopivnyk2.5081111113LSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631WSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.531111133R. Sopivnyk2.3876110LSep 5 · 17:10O. Varlamov2.0081111113R. Sopivnyk1.73119361WSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133WSep 5 · 12:40O. Zhyrnov1.44118961R. Sopivnyk2.6391111113WSep 5 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401071141R. Sopivnyk2.7512119113WAug 15 · 14:40R. Pomin1.507111091R. Sopivnyk2.5011812113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.