TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13141995
Played Sep 17Finished
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118611611116119
Andrii Droshchynskyi
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:14 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeAndrii Droshchynskyi to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhenii Holoborodko above · Andrii Droshchynskyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 90 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Andrii Droshchynskyi at 69.5%
90 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Holoborodko 11–19 Andrii Droshchynskyi Yevhenii Holoborodko has won 11 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:14What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-19 in 30
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
gap of 8 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holoborodko 1588 vs Droshchynskyi 1744
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
both rated, 156 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holoborodko 60% vs Droshchynskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holoborodko 60% vs Droshchynskyi 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holoborodko -1 · Droshchynskyi +3
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Droshchynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Droshchynskyi form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoloborodko 2.75 / Droshchynskyi 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 70%
Edge (Droshchynskyi)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13141995
Holoborodko2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 66 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back26% 28 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 60
Droshchynskyi1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 73 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it91% 51 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it75% 59 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHoloborodko4wins
AwayDroshchynskyi6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDroshchynskyi leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHoloborodko100%3 of 3
AwayDroshchynskyi85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holoborodko3Droshchynskyi7n = 10Droshchynskyi took 7 of 10
S2Holoborodko4Droshchynskyi6n = 10Droshchynskyi took 6 of 10
S3Holoborodko4Droshchynskyi6n = 10Droshchynskyi took 6 of 10
S4Holoborodko1Droshchynskyi2n = 3Droshchynskyi took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricHoloborodkoDroshchynskyiH − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match29.634.5−4.9per matchSweeps25−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoloborodkoDroshchynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 640 vs 123 / 21352.2%57.8%334 / 640 vs 123 / 213Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DroshchynskyiHoloborodko 2.75/Droshchynskyi 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.5%
Droshchynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Holoborodko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 10:00Y. Holoborodko196760A. Droshchynskyi331111113
LSep 12 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko31941171A. Droshchynskyi4111118113
WSep 6 · 11:00Y. Holoborodko3811115113A. Droshchynskyi33951181
LSep 5 · 11:10Y. Holoborodko229760A. Droshchynskyi331111113
WAug 23 · 06:30Y. Holoborodko331111113A. Droshchynskyi258980
LAug 22 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko147430A. Droshchynskyi331111113
WAug 8 · 12:10Y. Holoborodko351112123A. Droshchynskyi29910100
LAug 2 · 07:05Y. Holoborodko2661190A. Droshchynskyi351113113
WJul 25 · 10:40Y. Holoborodko52912119113A. Droshchynskyi48111071192
LJul 18 · 12:10Y. Holoborodko2687110A. Droshchynskyi351111133
Y. Holoborodko10
LSep 16 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko1.444980A. Zozulia2.631111113WSep 16 · 16:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.50612111162Y. Holoborodko2.50111437113WSep 16 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.501151331Y. Holoborodko2.50131111113LSep 16 · 12:40Y. Holoborodko2.50118781D. Habrelyan1.5061111113WSep 16 · 11:40V. Merzlikin2.005680Y. Holoborodko1.731111113LSep 14 · 11:35V. Ishchuk2.20111148113Y. Holoborodko1.6198111172WSep 14 · 10:35O. Karpenko2.75114371Y. Holoborodko1.4091111113LSep 14 · 09:05A. Obishchenko1.831112133Y. Holoborodko1.83610110WSep 14 · 07:05A. Troyan2.5079111152Y. Holoborodko1.50111197113WSep 14 · 05:05Y. Volkov2.0071161142Y. Holoborodko1.73118118113
A. Droshchynskyi10
WSep 17 · 12:40A. Droshchynskyi1.73151358113A. Zozulia2.001311111172WSep 13 · 11:00O. Varlamov3.0010430A. Droshchynskyi1.361211113WSep 13 · 10:00Y. Holoborodko2.636760A. Droshchynskyi1.441111113WSep 13 · 08:30M. Tiutiunnyk3.509970A. Droshchynskyi1.281111113LSep 13 · 06:30A. Zozulia2.1031211113A. Droshchynskyi1.671110771LSep 13 · 04:30Y. Bondarenko1.83111017113A. Droshchynskyi1.837121531WSep 12 · 17:40A. Droshchynskyi1.5011118113Y. Holoborodko2.50941171WSep 12 · 15:40V. Merzlikin3.409540A. Droshchynskyi1.30111153LSep 12 · 13:40Y. Skorobahatyi1.73119911113A. Droshchynskyi2.0061111982WSep 12 · 12:40A. Droshchynskyi2.751111113V. Maksuta1.404490
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