TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126547
Played Sep 14Finished
Andrii Obishchenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11612101311––––
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Obishchenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Obishchenko above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 63 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Andrii Obishchenko at 54.0%
63 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Obishchenko 2–3 Yevhenii Holoborodko Andrii Obishchenko has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:10What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Holoborodko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Obishchenko 1654 vs Holoborodko 1594
Obishchenko
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Obishchenko 60% vs Holoborodko 80%
Holoborodko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Obishchenko 60% vs Holoborodko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Obishchenko +1 · Holoborodko +3
Holoborodko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Holoborodko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holoborodko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsObishchenko 1.83 / Holoborodko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Holoborodko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13126547
Obishchenko1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Holoborodko1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeObishchenko2wins
AwayHoloborodko3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderHoloborodko leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeObishchenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHoloborodko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Obishchenko2Holoborodko3n = 5Holoborodko took 3 of 5
S2Obishchenko3Holoborodko2n = 5Obishchenko took 3 of 5
S3Obishchenko2Holoborodko3n = 5Holoborodko took 3 of 5
S4Obishchenko2Holoborodko3n = 5Holoborodko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricObishchenkoHoloborodkoO − HBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match38.639.8−1.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricObishchenkoHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 138 vs 330 / 63251.5%52.2%71 / 138 vs 330 / 632Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoloborodkoObishchenko 1.83/Holoborodko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Holoborodko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Obishchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 20 · 06:00A. Obishchenko48711811113Y. Holoborodko4511911772
LAug 14 · 07:35A. Obishchenko3991111532Y. Holoborodko51119911113
LJul 12 · 04:30A. Obishchenko33117691Y. Holoborodko3741111113
LJan 2 · 06:35A. Obishchenko32116961Y. Holoborodko4181111113
WDec 21 · 12:35A. Obishchenko4181111113Y. Holoborodko25116261
A. Obishchenko10
WSep 14 · 10:05A. Obishchenko1.251114113A. Troyan3.7581250WSep 14 · 07:35A. Obishchenko1.6111117113V. Ishchuk2.20351181LSep 14 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.4011881152O. Karpenko2.75111117113WSep 8 · 11:05O. Osadchyi2.389480A. Obishchenko1.531111113WSep 8 · 10:05A. Obishchenko1.251111113A. Troyan3.755960LSep 8 · 09:05A. Obishchenko1.9177100Y. Kovshun1.801111123WSep 8 · 07:35A. Obishchenko1.401111113D. Khairov2.756550WSep 8 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.501311113O. Volynets2.5011930WAug 20 · 10:30A. Obishchenko1.57127119123A. Lobanov2.251011811102LAug 20 · 09:00A. Obishchenko1.679830A. Kotiash2.101111113
Y. Holoborodko10
WSep 14 · 07:05A. Troyan2.5079111152Y. Holoborodko1.50111197113WSep 14 · 05:05Y. Volkov2.0071161142Y. Holoborodko1.73118118113WSep 13 · 11:30A. Zozulia2.00111169112Y. Holoborodko1.73881111133LSep 13 · 10:00Y. Holoborodko2.636760A. Droshchynskyi1.441111113WSep 13 · 08:00O. Varlamov1.8068111182Y. Holoborodko1.91111186113WSep 13 · 06:00Y. Bondarenko2.2011861192Y. Holoborodko1.61311116113LSep 13 · 05:00M. Tiutiunnyk1.8011911113Y. Holoborodko1.91611931LSep 12 · 17:40A. Droshchynskyi1.5011118113Y. Holoborodko2.50941171WSep 12 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.501011513113V. Maksuta1.50128111182LSep 12 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.8010111012113Y. Holoborodko1.91127121082
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