TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116727
Played Sep 12Finished
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121185111311118
Volodymir Maksuta
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeVolodymir Maksuta to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhenii Holoborodko above · Volodymir Maksuta below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 100 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Volodymir Maksuta at 63.3%
100 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Holoborodko 12–14 Volodymir Maksuta Yevhenii Holoborodko has won 12 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:33What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Maksuta
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-14 in 26
Maksuta
Wrong
gap of 2 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holoborodko 1556 vs Maksuta 1606
Maksuta
Wrong
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holoborodko 20% vs Maksuta 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holoborodko 50% vs Maksuta 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holoborodko -2 · Maksuta -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Maksuta)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksuta form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoloborodko 2.50 / Maksuta 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Maksuta)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13116727
Holoborodko2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 72 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back26% 33 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 69
Maksuta1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 86 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it96% 52 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it83% 71 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHoloborodko3wins
AwayMaksuta7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMaksuta leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHoloborodkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMaksuta75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holoborodko2Maksuta8n = 10Maksuta took 8 of 10
S2Holoborodko2Maksuta8n = 10Maksuta took 8 of 10
S3Holoborodko3Maksuta7n = 10Maksuta took 7 of 10
S4Holoborodko3Maksuta4n = 7Maksuta took 4 of 7
S5Holoborodko3Maksuta0n = 3Holoborodko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHoloborodkoMaksutaH − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.340.7−5.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoloborodkoMaksutaBasisWin rate · lifetime324 / 623 vs 166 / 29152%57%324 / 623 vs 166 / 291Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksutaHoloborodko 2.50/Maksuta 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.3%
Maksuta · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Holoborodko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 12:10Y. Holoborodko48116911113V. Maksuta4291111562
WJul 30 · 12:40Y. Holoborodko49811712113V. Maksuta44117111052
WJul 23 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko51991111113V. Maksuta4411119762
LJul 16 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko2037100V. Maksuta341111123
LJul 14 · 14:10Y. Holoborodko28481151V. Maksuta4211119113
LJul 9 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko4111117121V. Maksuta4791311143
LJun 23 · 01:10Y. Holoborodko237880V. Maksuta331111113
LJun 11 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2361070V. Maksuta341112113
LJun 6 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko333119101V. Maksuta4211811123
LJun 3 · 11:10Y. Holoborodko371071371V. Maksuta45121111113
Y. Holoborodko10
LSep 12 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.8010111012113Y. Holoborodko1.91127121082LSep 12 · 12:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.671111113Y. Holoborodko2.106780WSep 12 · 11:10V. Merzlikin1.8010580Y. Holoborodko1.911211113LSep 10 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.911111113Y. Holoborodko1.809720LSep 10 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.6364110O. Zhyrnov1.441111133WSep 10 · 14:10A. Zozulia1.6181161192Y. Holoborodko2.20117113113WSep 10 · 12:10V. Maksuta1.4491111562Y. Holoborodko2.63116911113WSep 10 · 11:10O. Kuzyshyn1.3687110Y. Holoborodko3.001111133LSep 9 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.91131110113Y. Holoborodko1.801121241WSep 9 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.00139711113O. Nadporozhskyi1.73111111772
V. Maksuta10
LSep 12 · 14:40V. Merzlikin1.8341191183V. Maksuta1.8311911972LSep 12 · 12:40A. Droshchynskyi2.751111113V. Maksuta1.404490WSep 12 · 10:40Y. Skorobahatyi2.101011631V. Maksuta1.6712811113LSep 10 · 16:40V. Maksuta1.838970O. Kuzyshyn1.831111113LSep 10 · 15:10V. Maksuta1.577670A. Zozulia2.251111113WSep 10 · 13:40V. Maksuta1.3311116113M. Tiutiunnyk3.25441191LSep 10 · 12:10V. Maksuta1.4491111562Y. Holoborodko2.63116911113WSep 10 · 10:40V. Maksuta1.83119159113O. Zhyrnov1.83811131192LSep 7 · 18:00E. Hrytsenko1.80128712113V. Maksuta1.911011111082WSep 7 · 17:00V. Maksuta1.36712118113M. Mrykh3.00111091192
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