TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126374
Played Sep 14Finished
Yurii Volkov
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711118611118411
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:32 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Holoborodko to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 88 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Yevhenii Holoborodko at 57.1%
88 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 3–8 Yevhenii Holoborodko Yurii Volkov has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:32What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Holoborodko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-8 in 11
Holoborodko
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1648 vs Holoborodko 1567
Volkov
Wrong
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 60% vs Holoborodko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 60% vs Holoborodko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov -1 · Holoborodko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Holoborodko) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 2.00 / Holoborodko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Holoborodko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13126374
Volkov2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 45 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back26% 14 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Holoborodko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 117 of 215
Up 2–0, closes it90% 46 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it69% 73 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolkov3wins
AwayHoloborodko7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHoloborodko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov33.3%1 of 3
AwayHoloborodko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov3Holoborodko7n = 10Holoborodko took 7 of 10
S2Volkov3Holoborodko7n = 10Holoborodko took 7 of 10
S3Volkov3Holoborodko7n = 10Holoborodko took 7 of 10
S4Volkov2Holoborodko4n = 6Holoborodko took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolkovHoloborodkoV − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.739.0−7.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime415 / 781 vs 328 / 63053.1%52.1%415 / 781 vs 328 / 630Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoloborodkoVolkov 2.00/Holoborodko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Holoborodko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Holoborodko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 06:00Y. Volkov4212101281Y. Holoborodko47141210113
LAug 27 · 14:10Y. Volkov321164111Y. Holoborodko4491111133
LAug 20 · 10:00Y. Volkov27710100Y. Holoborodko351112123
WJul 17 · 05:00Y. Volkov41211611113Y. Holoborodko4311511972
LJan 12 · 07:35Y. Volkov24451141Y. Holoborodko4111118113
LDec 30 · 10:05Y. Volkov154740Y. Holoborodko331111113
LDec 29 · 10:00Y. Volkov29147351Y. Holoborodko45121111113
WDec 26 · 05:30Y. Volkov331111113Y. Holoborodko195950
WDec 21 · 10:05Y. Volkov515111113113Y. Holoborodko50117131182
LDec 19 · 06:35Y. Volkov238780Y. Holoborodko331111113
Y. Volkov10
LSep 12 · 11:35Y. Volkov1.8011211762Y. Kovshun1.91611911113WSep 12 · 09:35I. Efimenko1.6141090Y. Volkov2.201112113WSep 12 · 08:35Y. Volkov1.5711113113A. Troyan2.25881151WSep 12 · 07:35A. Kotiash3.406101101Y. Volkov1.3011129113LSep 12 · 06:05Y. Volkov1.3671112752V. Bilobrov3.001181011113WSep 11 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.30611911113A. Kotiash3.4011311392WSep 11 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.8091812113Y. Kovshun1.9111161051WSep 11 · 07:30Y. Volkov1.4031116113V. Bilobrov2.751161481LSep 11 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.672650A. Troyan2.101111113LSep 11 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.4011591192O. Karpenko2.75911119113
Y. Holoborodko10
WSep 13 · 11:30A. Zozulia2.00111169112Y. Holoborodko1.73881111133LSep 13 · 10:00Y. Holoborodko2.636760A. Droshchynskyi1.441111113WSep 13 · 08:00O. Varlamov1.8068111182Y. Holoborodko1.91111186113WSep 13 · 06:00Y. Bondarenko2.2011861192Y. Holoborodko1.61311116113LSep 13 · 05:00M. Tiutiunnyk1.8011911113Y. Holoborodko1.91611931LSep 12 · 17:40A. Droshchynskyi1.5011118113Y. Holoborodko2.50941171WSep 12 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.501011513113V. Maksuta1.50128111182LSep 12 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.8010111012113Y. Holoborodko1.91127121082LSep 12 · 12:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.671111113Y. Holoborodko2.106780WSep 12 · 11:10V. Merzlikin1.8010580Y. Holoborodko1.911211113
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