TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116786
Played Sep 12Finished
Ivan Efimenko
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4111012911––––
Yurii Volkov
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:56 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeIvan Efimenko to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Efimenko above · Yurii Volkov below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 57 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Ivan Efimenko at 56.5%
57 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Efimenko 2–2 Yurii Volkov Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:56What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Efimenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Efimenko 1742 vs Volkov 1643
Efimenko
Wrong
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Efimenko 80% vs Volkov 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Efimenko 80% vs Volkov 50%
Efimenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Efimenko +2 · Volkov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Efimenko) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volkov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEfimenko 1.61 / Volkov 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Efimenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13116786
Efimenko1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 9 of 13
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Volkov2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 50 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back29% 16 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeEfimenko2wins
AwayVolkov2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Efimenko2Volkov2n = 4split evenly
S2Efimenko2Volkov2n = 4split evenly
S3Efimenko2Volkov2n = 4split evenly
S4Efimenko2Volkov1n = 3Efimenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricEfimenkoVolkovE − VBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match34.537.2−2.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEfimenkoVolkovBasisWin rate · lifetime12 / 18 vs 418 / 78366.7%53.4%12 / 18 vs 418 / 783Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
EfimenkoEfimenko 1.61/Volkov 2.20
Miss
What we said
60.5%
Efimenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Volkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko—11116113Y. Volkov—881191
WSep 5 · 07:18I. Efimenko—11611113Y. Volkov—811751
LAug 29 · 08:05I. Efimenko—11111992Y. Volkov—114911113
LAug 22 · 05:05I. Efimenko—12520Y. Volkov—1411113
I. Efimenko10
WSep 12 · 08:05I. Efimenko1.2051111113V. Bilobrov4.33118521WSep 12 · 06:35I. Efimenko1.3681311113A. Troyan3.001111881LSep 12 · 05:05I. Efimenko1.44103111242Y. Kovshun2.631211810113WSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191WSep 5 · 09:20A. Kotiash4.333640I. Efimenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870WSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov1.67811751I. Efimenko2.1011611113WSep 5 · 06:18I. Efimenko1.36148115113Y. Kovshun3.00121171162LAug 29 · 12:05I. Efimenko1.3391040A. Melchenko3.251112113WAug 29 · 10:05A. Kotiash3.755660I. Efimenko1.251111113
Y. Volkov10
WSep 12 · 08:35Y. Volkov1.5711113113A. Troyan2.25881151WSep 12 · 07:35A. Kotiash3.406101101Y. Volkov1.3011129113LSep 12 · 06:05Y. Volkov1.3671112752V. Bilobrov3.001181011113WSep 11 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.30611911113A. Kotiash3.4011311392WSep 11 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.8091812113Y. Kovshun1.9111161051WSep 11 · 07:30Y. Volkov1.4031116113V. Bilobrov2.751161481LSep 11 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.672650A. Troyan2.101111113LSep 11 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.4011591192O. Karpenko2.75911119113LSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191LSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov1.67811751I. Efimenko2.1011611113
Upcoming Matches
I. Efimenko
Nothing scheduled
Y. Volkov
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