TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122079
Played Sep 13Finished
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711611––––
Andrii Droshchynskyi
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:59 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Droshchynskyi to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Holoborodko above · Andrii Droshchynskyi below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 52 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Andrii Droshchynskyi at 67.7%
52 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Holoborodko 11–18 Andrii Droshchynskyi Yevhenii Holoborodko has won 11 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:59What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Droshchynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-18 in 29
Droshchynskyi
Correct
gap of 7 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holoborodko 1580 vs Droshchynskyi 1709
Droshchynskyi
Correct
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holoborodko 60% vs Droshchynskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holoborodko 40% vs Droshchynskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holoborodko +2 · Droshchynskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Droshchynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holoborodko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoloborodko 2.63 / Droshchynskyi 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Droshchynskyi)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13122079
Holoborodko2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 64 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back26% 28 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 60
Droshchynskyi1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 70 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it91% 48 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it75% 56 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHoloborodko4wins
AwayDroshchynskyi6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDroshchynskyi leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHoloborodko100%3 of 3
AwayDroshchynskyi85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holoborodko3Droshchynskyi7n = 10Droshchynskyi took 7 of 10
S2Holoborodko5Droshchynskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Holoborodko4Droshchynskyi6n = 10Droshchynskyi took 6 of 10
S4Holoborodko2Droshchynskyi2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricHoloborodkoDroshchynskyiH − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.435.9−3.5per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoloborodkoDroshchynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime327 / 628 vs 121 / 21152.1%57.4%327 / 628 vs 121 / 211Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DroshchynskyiHoloborodko 2.63/Droshchynskyi 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Droshchynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Droshchynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko31941171A. Droshchynskyi4111118113
WSep 6 · 11:00Y. Holoborodko3811115113A. Droshchynskyi33951181
LSep 5 · 11:10Y. Holoborodko229760A. Droshchynskyi331111113
WAug 23 · 06:30Y. Holoborodko331111113A. Droshchynskyi258980
LAug 22 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko147430A. Droshchynskyi331111113
WAug 8 · 12:10Y. Holoborodko351112123A. Droshchynskyi29910100
LAug 2 · 07:05Y. Holoborodko2661190A. Droshchynskyi351113113
WJul 25 · 10:40Y. Holoborodko52912119113A. Droshchynskyi48111071192
LJul 18 · 12:10Y. Holoborodko2687110A. Droshchynskyi351111133
LJul 11 · 11:10Y. Holoborodko47711711112A. Droshchynskyi47116116133
Y. Holoborodko10
WSep 13 · 08:00O. Varlamov1.8068111182Y. Holoborodko1.91111186113WSep 13 · 06:00Y. Bondarenko2.2011861192Y. Holoborodko1.61311116113LSep 13 · 05:00M. Tiutiunnyk1.8011911113Y. Holoborodko1.91611931LSep 12 · 17:40A. Droshchynskyi1.5011118113Y. Holoborodko2.50941171WSep 12 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.501011513113V. Maksuta1.50128111182LSep 12 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.8010111012113Y. Holoborodko1.91127121082LSep 12 · 12:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.671111113Y. Holoborodko2.106780WSep 12 · 11:10V. Merzlikin1.8010580Y. Holoborodko1.911211113LSep 10 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.911111113Y. Holoborodko1.809720LSep 10 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.6364110O. Zhyrnov1.441111133
A. Droshchynskyi10
WSep 13 · 08:30M. Tiutiunnyk3.509970A. Droshchynskyi1.281111113LSep 13 · 06:30A. Zozulia2.1031211113A. Droshchynskyi1.671110771LSep 13 · 04:30Y. Bondarenko1.83111017113A. Droshchynskyi1.837121531WSep 12 · 17:40A. Droshchynskyi1.5011118113Y. Holoborodko2.50941171WSep 12 · 15:40V. Merzlikin3.409540A. Droshchynskyi1.30111153LSep 12 · 13:40Y. Skorobahatyi1.73119911113A. Droshchynskyi2.0061111982WSep 12 · 12:40A. Droshchynskyi2.751111113V. Maksuta1.404490WSep 12 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk3.258280A. Droshchynskyi1.331111113LSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113LSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990
Upcoming Matches
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