TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117494
Played Sep 12Finished
Andrii Droshchynskyi
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119114811117––
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:43 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Droshchynskyi to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Droshchynskyi above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 72 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Andrii Droshchynskyi at 65.7%
72 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Droshchynskyi 17–11 Yevhenii Holoborodko Yevhenii Holoborodko has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:43What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Droshchynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-11 in 28
Droshchynskyi
Correct
gap of 6 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Droshchynskyi 1715 vs Holoborodko 1580
Droshchynskyi
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Droshchynskyi 60% vs Holoborodko 40%
Droshchynskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Droshchynskyi 60% vs Holoborodko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Droshchynskyi +1 · Holoborodko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Droshchynskyi)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDroshchynskyi 1.50 / Holoborodko 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Droshchynskyi)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13117494
Droshchynskyi1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 71 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it88% 45 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it73% 56 of 77
Holoborodko2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 72 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back26% 33 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDroshchynskyi6wins
AwayHoloborodko4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDroshchynskyi leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDroshchynskyi85.7%6 of 7
AwayHoloborodko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Droshchynskyi7Holoborodko3n = 10Droshchynskyi took 7 of 10
S2Droshchynskyi5Holoborodko5n = 10split evenly
S3Droshchynskyi6Holoborodko4n = 10Droshchynskyi took 6 of 10
S4Droshchynskyi2Holoborodko2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDroshchynskyiHoloborodkoD − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.732.8+2.9per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDroshchynskyiHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 207 vs 325 / 62457.5%52.1%119 / 207 vs 325 / 624Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DroshchynskyiDroshchynskyi 1.50/Holoborodko 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Droshchynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Droshchynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi33951181Y. Holoborodko3811115113
WSep 5 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi331111113Y. Holoborodko229760
LAug 23 · 06:30A. Droshchynskyi258980Y. Holoborodko331111113
WAug 22 · 16:10A. Droshchynskyi331111113Y. Holoborodko147430
LAug 8 · 12:10A. Droshchynskyi29910100Y. Holoborodko351112123
WAug 2 · 07:05A. Droshchynskyi351113113Y. Holoborodko2661190
LJul 25 · 10:40A. Droshchynskyi48111071192Y. Holoborodko52912119113
WJul 18 · 12:10A. Droshchynskyi351111133Y. Holoborodko2687110
WJul 11 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi47116116133Y. Holoborodko47711711112
WJun 28 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi3911116113Y. Holoborodko35981171
A. Droshchynskyi10
WSep 12 · 15:40V. Merzlikin3.409540A. Droshchynskyi1.30111153LSep 12 · 13:40Y. Skorobahatyi1.73119911113A. Droshchynskyi2.0061111982WSep 12 · 12:40A. Droshchynskyi2.751111113V. Maksuta1.404490WSep 12 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk3.258280A. Droshchynskyi1.331111113LSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113LSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 08:00A. Droshchynskyi1.4011511133O. Varlamov2.754111111WSep 6 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn1.61761141A. Droshchynskyi2.2011115113WSep 6 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.531111133R. Sopivnyk2.3876110LSep 5 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114103A. Droshchynskyi2.20731121
Y. Holoborodko10
WSep 12 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.501011513113V. Maksuta1.50128111182LSep 12 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.8010111012113Y. Holoborodko1.91127121082LSep 12 · 12:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.671111113Y. Holoborodko2.106780WSep 12 · 11:10V. Merzlikin1.8010580Y. Holoborodko1.911211113LSep 10 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.911111113Y. Holoborodko1.809720LSep 10 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.6364110O. Zhyrnov1.441111133WSep 10 · 14:10A. Zozulia1.6181161192Y. Holoborodko2.20117113113WSep 10 · 12:10V. Maksuta1.4491111562Y. Holoborodko2.63116911113WSep 10 · 11:10O. Kuzyshyn1.3687110Y. Holoborodko3.001111133WSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113
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