TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122639
Played Sep 13Finished
Yurii Bondarenko
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
113811611116911
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:24 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Holoborodko to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Bondarenko above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 87 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Yevhenii Holoborodko at 59.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Bondarenko 2–10 Yevhenii Holoborodko Yurii Bondarenko has won 2 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:24What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Holoborodko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-10 in 12
Holoborodko
Correct
gap of 8 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bondarenko 1630 vs Holoborodko 1569
Bondarenko
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bondarenko 80% vs Holoborodko 20%
Bondarenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bondarenko 70% vs Holoborodko 40%
Bondarenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bondarenko +3 · Holoborodko -2
Bondarenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Holoborodko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holoborodko form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondarenko 2.20 / Holoborodko 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Holoborodko)+0.7pp
Setka Cup · #13122639
Bondarenko2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 6 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back10% 1 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Holoborodko1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 117 of 216
Up 2–0, closes it91% 48 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it69% 75 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBondarenko2wins
AwayHoloborodko8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHoloborodko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBondarenko50%2 of 4
AwayHoloborodko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bondarenko4Holoborodko6n = 10Holoborodko took 6 of 10
S2Bondarenko3Holoborodko7n = 10Holoborodko took 7 of 10
S3Bondarenko4Holoborodko6n = 10Holoborodko took 6 of 10
S4Bondarenko4Holoborodko4n = 8split evenly
S5Bondarenko1Holoborodko3n = 4Holoborodko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBondarenkoHoloborodkoB − HBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.740.7−3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarenkoHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 101 vs 326 / 62753.5%52%54 / 101 vs 326 / 627Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoloborodkoBondarenko 2.20/Holoborodko 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.4%
Holoborodko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Holoborodko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 06:00Y. Bondarenko4511861192Y. Holoborodko42311116113
LSep 9 · 11:10Y. Bondarenko368116111Y. Holoborodko4411911133
WSep 2 · 15:40Y. Bondarenko331111113Y. Holoborodko227870
LAug 26 · 15:59Y. Bondarenko4377111172Y. Holoborodko48111178113
LAug 26 · 11:10Y. Bondarenko3910101181Y. Holoborodko4312128113
LAug 16 · 08:30Y. Bondarenko4989111382Y. Holoborodko501111611113
LAug 9 · 08:00Y. Bondarenko31711581Y. Holoborodko3611311113
WJul 12 · 08:30Y. Bondarenko43113711113Y. Holoborodko4771111992
LJun 28 · 07:00Y. Bondarenko258890Y. Holoborodko331111113
LFeb 22 · 07:00Y. Bondarenko331111471Y. Holoborodko4271311113
Y. Bondarenko10
WSep 13 · 04:30Y. Bondarenko1.83111017113A. Droshchynskyi1.837121531WSep 9 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.00101181162Y. Bondarenko1.73123117113WSep 9 · 15:40Y. Bondarenko1.8011137113M. Tiutiunnyk1.917111171LSep 9 · 14:40Y. Bondarenko1.739890O. Nadporozhskyi2.001111113WSep 9 · 13:10Y. Bondarenko1.531111113D. Habrelyan2.388730LSep 9 · 11:10Y. Bondarenko2.008116111Y. Holoborodko1.7311911133WSep 2 · 16:40O. Karpenko2.63123661Y. Bondarenko1.44101111113WSep 2 · 15:40Y. Bondarenko2.501111113Y. Holoborodko1.507870WSep 2 · 14:40Y. Bondarenko1.50812119113D. Habrelyan2.50111091152LSep 2 · 13:10Y. Bondarenko1.67451191O. Zhyrnov2.1011119113
Y. Holoborodko10
LSep 13 · 05:00M. Tiutiunnyk1.8011911113Y. Holoborodko1.91611931LSep 12 · 17:40A. Droshchynskyi1.5011118113Y. Holoborodko2.50941171WSep 12 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.501011513113V. Maksuta1.50128111182LSep 12 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.8010111012113Y. Holoborodko1.91127121082LSep 12 · 12:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.671111113Y. Holoborodko2.106780WSep 12 · 11:10V. Merzlikin1.8010580Y. Holoborodko1.911211113LSep 10 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.911111113Y. Holoborodko1.809720LSep 10 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.6364110O. Zhyrnov1.441111133WSep 9 · 11:10Y. Bondarenko2.008116111Y. Holoborodko1.7311911133LSep 2 · 15:40Y. Bondarenko2.501111113Y. Holoborodko1.507870
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