TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126455
Played Sep 14Finished
Andrii Obishchenko
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113115711118––
Vadym Ishchuk
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:52 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Obishchenko to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Obishchenko above · Vadym Ishchuk below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 67 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Andrii Obishchenko at 57.7%
67 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Obishchenko 2–1 Vadym Ishchuk Vadym Ishchuk has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:52What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Obishchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Obishchenko 1654 vs Ishchuk 1598
Obishchenko
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Obishchenko 60% vs Ishchuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Obishchenko 60% vs Ishchuk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Obishchenko -1 · Ishchuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Obishchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ishchuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsObishchenko 1.61 / Ishchuk 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Obishchenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13126455
Obishchenko1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 33 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it89% 25 of 28
Ishchuk2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 18 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back6% 2 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeObishchenko2wins
AwayIshchuk1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderObishchenko leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Obishchenko2Ishchuk1n = 3Obishchenko took 2 of 3
S2Obishchenko1Ishchuk2n = 3Ishchuk took 2 of 3
S3Obishchenko2Ishchuk1n = 3Obishchenko took 2 of 3
S4Obishchenko1Ishchuk2n = 3Ishchuk took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricObishchenkoIshchukO − IBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match39.336.7+2.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricObishchenkoIshchukBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 138 vs 148 / 35651.5%41.6%71 / 138 vs 148 / 356Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ObishchenkoObishchenko 1.61/Ishchuk 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Obishchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Obishchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 14 · 07:35A. Obishchenko4011117113V. Ishchuk27351181
LAug 14 · 05:35A. Obishchenko33671191V. Ishchuk4011117113
WMay 31 · 08:05A. Obishchenko45126115113V. Ishchuk43101171142
A. Obishchenko10
WSep 14 · 09:05A. Obishchenko1.831112133Y. Holoborodko1.83610110LSep 14 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.4011881152O. Karpenko2.75111117113WSep 8 · 11:05O. Osadchyi2.389480A. Obishchenko1.531111113WSep 8 · 10:05A. Obishchenko1.251111113A. Troyan3.755960LSep 8 · 09:05A. Obishchenko1.9177100Y. Kovshun1.801111123WSep 8 · 07:35A. Obishchenko1.401111113D. Khairov2.756550WSep 8 · 05:35A. Obishchenko1.501311113O. Volynets2.5011930WAug 20 · 10:30A. Obishchenko1.57127119123A. Lobanov2.251011811102LAug 20 · 09:00A. Obishchenko1.679830A. Kotiash2.101111113LAug 20 · 07:30A. Obishchenko1.208911121A. Troyan4.3311115143
V. Ishchuk10
WSep 14 · 09:35Y. Volkov2.257860V. Ishchuk1.571111113WSep 14 · 08:35V. Ishchuk1.61116128113O. Karpenko2.20211101162LSep 14 · 06:05V. Ishchuk1.801011871A. Troyan1.9112711113WSep 1 · 16:40A. Kotiash2.1041050V. Ishchuk1.671112113WSep 1 · 15:40V. Ishchuk1.73911119133O. Karpenko2.00119911112LSep 1 · 14:40V. Ishchuk2.2591450R. Sopivnyk1.571116113WSep 1 · 13:10V. Ishchuk2.38111110133M. Tiutiunnyk1.535612111LSep 1 · 11:10V. Ishchuk2.201111101262Y. Holoborodko1.611391210113LAug 14 · 12:05R. Sopivnyk1.6711119113V. Ishchuk2.10671171LAug 14 · 10:35V. Ishchuk1.50461171A. Troyan2.5011118113
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