TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13137276
Played Sep 16Finished
Yevhen Skorobahatyi
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111214113117611
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:16 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeYevhen Skorobahatyi to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhen Skorobahatyi above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 92 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Yevhen Skorobahatyi at 63.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Skorobahatyi 5–2 Yevhenii Holoborodko Yevhenii Holoborodko has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:16What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Skorobahatyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Skorobahatyi
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skorobahatyi 1532 vs Holoborodko 1596
Holoborodko
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skorobahatyi 0% vs Holoborodko 60%
Holoborodko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skorobahatyi 20% vs Holoborodko 60%
Holoborodko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skorobahatyi -5 · Holoborodko +1
Skorobahatyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Skorobahatyi) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holoborodko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkorobahatyi 1.50 / Holoborodko 2.50
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Skorobahatyi)-3.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13137276
Skorobahatyi1.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 18 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it76% 16 of 21
Holoborodko2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 65 of 169
Down 0–1, comes back26% 28 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSkorobahatyi5wins
AwayHoloborodko2wins
3 of 7 to a deciderSkorobahatyi leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkorobahatyi80%4 of 5
AwayHoloborodkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skorobahatyi5Holoborodko2n = 7Skorobahatyi took 5 of 7
S2Skorobahatyi4Holoborodko3n = 7Skorobahatyi took 4 of 7
S3Skorobahatyi3Holoborodko4n = 7Holoborodko took 4 of 7
S4Skorobahatyi3Holoborodko1n = 4Skorobahatyi took 3 of 4
S5Skorobahatyi2Holoborodko1n = 3Skorobahatyi took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricSkorobahatyiHoloborodkoS − HBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match38.634.1+4.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkorobahatyiHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime126 / 271 vs 333 / 63846.5%52.2%126 / 271 vs 333 / 638Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkorobahatyiSkorobahatyi 1.50/Holoborodko 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Skorobahatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Holoborodko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 12 · 12:10Y. Skorobahatyi331111113Y. Holoborodko216780
WJul 25 · 14:40Y. Skorobahatyi351212113Y. Holoborodko29101090
WJun 21 · 10:00Y. Skorobahatyi46611711113Y. Holoborodko4011411592
WJun 20 · 17:40Y. Skorobahatyi44111111113Y. Holoborodko37813791
LMay 28 · 14:40Y. Skorobahatyi27611100Y. Holoborodko361113123
WApr 26 · 11:00Y. Skorobahatyi44111174113Y. Holoborodko3747111142
LApr 10 · 16:20Y. Skorobahatyi4111371192Y. Holoborodko39111115113
Y. Skorobahatyi10
LSep 16 · 14:40Y. Skorobahatyi1.91117127102D. Habrelyan1.809111011123LSep 16 · 13:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.5311116862V. Merzlikin2.38641111113LSep 16 · 11:10Y. Skorobahatyi2.2510940A. Zozulia1.571211113LSep 12 · 16:40Y. Skorobahatyi1.50137751V. Merzlikin2.50111111113LSep 12 · 15:10Y. Skorobahatyi2.5011791172M. Tiutiunnyk1.50811114113WSep 12 · 13:40Y. Skorobahatyi1.73119911113A. Droshchynskyi2.0061111982WSep 12 · 12:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.671111113Y. Holoborodko2.106780LSep 12 · 10:40Y. Skorobahatyi2.101011631V. Maksuta1.6712811113LSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko1.801111113Y. Skorobahatyi1.915650
Y. Holoborodko10
WSep 16 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.501151331Y. Holoborodko2.50131111113LSep 16 · 12:40Y. Holoborodko2.50118781D. Habrelyan1.5061111113WSep 16 · 11:40V. Merzlikin2.005680Y. Holoborodko1.731111113LSep 14 · 11:35V. Ishchuk2.20111148113Y. Holoborodko1.6198111172WSep 14 · 10:35O. Karpenko2.75114371Y. Holoborodko1.4091111113LSep 14 · 09:05A. Obishchenko1.831112133Y. Holoborodko1.83610110WSep 14 · 07:05A. Troyan2.5079111152Y. Holoborodko1.50111197113WSep 14 · 05:05Y. Volkov2.0071161142Y. Holoborodko1.73118118113WSep 13 · 11:30A. Zozulia2.00111169112Y. Holoborodko1.73881111133LSep 12 · 12:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.671111113Y. Holoborodko2.106780
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