TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116696
Played Sep 12Finished
Yevhen Skorobahatyi
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118711911114711
Maksym Tiutiunnyk
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:24 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeMaksym Tiutiunnyk to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhen Skorobahatyi above · Maksym Tiutiunnyk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 90 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Maksym Tiutiunnyk at 64.1%
90 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Skorobahatyi 3–13 Maksym Tiutiunnyk Yevhen Skorobahatyi has won 3 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:24What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-13 in 16
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
gap of 10 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skorobahatyi 1583 vs Tiutiunnyk 1618
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skorobahatyi 40% vs Tiutiunnyk 80%
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skorobahatyi 30% vs Tiutiunnyk 60%
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skorobahatyi +2 · Tiutiunnyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Tiutiunnyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tiutiunnyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkorobahatyi 2.50 / Tiutiunnyk 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Tiutiunnyk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13116696
Skorobahatyi2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 18 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Tiutiunnyk1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 62 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it81% 38 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkorobahatyi2wins
AwayTiutiunnyk8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTiutiunnyk leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkorobahatyi33.3%1 of 3
AwayTiutiunnyk85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skorobahatyi3Tiutiunnyk7n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 7 of 10
S2Skorobahatyi5Tiutiunnyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Skorobahatyi3Tiutiunnyk7n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 7 of 10
S4Skorobahatyi2Tiutiunnyk4n = 6Tiutiunnyk took 4 of 6
S5Skorobahatyi1Tiutiunnyk3n = 4Tiutiunnyk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkorobahatyiTiutiunnykS − TBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.138.9−5.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkorobahatyiTiutiunnykBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 276 vs 188 / 39147.1%48.1%130 / 276 vs 188 / 391Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TiutiunnykSkorobahatyi 2.50/Tiutiunnyk 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Tiutiunnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tiutiunnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 20 · 14:10Y. Skorobahatyi181890M. Tiutiunnyk331111113
LApr 26 · 08:00Y. Skorobahatyi4311751192M. Tiutiunnyk45711115113
WApr 18 · 14:40Y. Skorobahatyi331111113M. Tiutiunnyk196760
LJun 25 · 12:10Y. Skorobahatyi46105111372M. Tiutiunnyk521211811103
LJun 18 · 10:40Y. Skorobahatyi341011671M. Tiutiunnyk4212811113
WJun 14 · 15:10Y. Skorobahatyi481011115113M. Tiutiunnyk4612971172
LMay 25 · 09:30Y. Skorobahatyi218760M. Tiutiunnyk331111113
LMay 24 · 13:40Y. Skorobahatyi3611115452M. Tiutiunnyk48781111113
LMay 4 · 08:30Y. Skorobahatyi235990M. Tiutiunnyk331111113
LMay 3 · 15:40Y. Skorobahatyi29911541M. Tiutiunnyk3811511113
Y. Skorobahatyi10
WSep 12 · 13:40Y. Skorobahatyi1.73119911113A. Droshchynskyi2.0061111982WSep 12 · 12:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.671111113Y. Holoborodko2.106780LSep 12 · 10:40Y. Skorobahatyi2.101011631V. Maksuta1.6712811113LSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko1.801111113Y. Skorobahatyi1.915650LSep 4 · 09:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.507101271I. Nitchenko1.50111210113LSep 4 · 08:20A. Derevianko1.36581111113Y. Skorobahatyi3.0011115492LSep 4 · 06:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.20913381E. Hrytsenko1.61111111113LAug 27 · 18:00A. Derevianko1.401111113Y. Skorobahatyi2.753680WAug 27 · 17:00Y. Skorobahatyi1.911111137113M. Deineha1.8096151182
M. Tiutiunnyk10
WSep 12 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.8010111012113Y. Holoborodko1.91127121082WSep 12 · 13:10V. Merzlikin1.53116971M. Tiutiunnyk2.3891111113LSep 12 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk3.258280A. Droshchynskyi1.331111113WSep 10 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.911111113Y. Holoborodko1.809720WSep 10 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn1.73811813122M. Tiutiunnyk2.001191111143LSep 10 · 13:40V. Maksuta1.3311116113M. Tiutiunnyk3.25441191LSep 10 · 12:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.381112481O. Zhyrnov1.5351411113WSep 10 · 11:40A. Zozulia1.8379130M. Tiutiunnyk1.831111153WSep 9 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.91131110113Y. Holoborodko1.801121241LSep 9 · 15:40Y. Bondarenko1.8011137113M. Tiutiunnyk1.917111171
Upcoming Matches
Y. Skorobahatyi
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M. Tiutiunnyk
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