TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13154995
Played Sep 19Finished
Maksym Tiutiunnyk
Home
4.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911811115114118
Andrii Droshchynskyi
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:22 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeAndrii Droshchynskyi to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Tiutiunnyk above · Andrii Droshchynskyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 89 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Andrii Droshchynskyi at 76.6%
89 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Tiutiunnyk 2–9 Andrii Droshchynskyi Maksym Tiutiunnyk has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:22What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-9 in 11
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tiutiunnyk 1630 vs Droshchynskyi 1698
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tiutiunnyk 40% vs Droshchynskyi 60%
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tiutiunnyk 70% vs Droshchynskyi 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tiutiunnyk -2 · Droshchynskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Droshchynskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Droshchynskyi form (60%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTiutiunnyk 4.00 / Droshchynskyi 1.22
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Droshchynskyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13154995
Tiutiunnyk4.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 35 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back23% 12 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 37
Droshchynskyi1.22
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 75 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it91% 52 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it75% 60 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTiutiunnyk1wins
AwayDroshchynskyi9wins
Droshchynskyi leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTiutiunnykn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayDroshchynskyi100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tiutiunnyk1Droshchynskyi9n = 10Droshchynskyi took 9 of 10
S2Tiutiunnyk2Droshchynskyi8n = 10Droshchynskyi took 8 of 10
S3Tiutiunnyk3Droshchynskyi7n = 10Droshchynskyi took 7 of 10
S4Tiutiunnyk0Droshchynskyi3n = 3Droshchynskyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricTiutiunnykDroshchynskyiT − DBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match24.335.1−10.8per matchSweeps16−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTiutiunnykDroshchynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime191 / 388 vs 125 / 21849.2%57.3%191 / 388 vs 125 / 218Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DroshchynskyiTiutiunnyk 4.00/Droshchynskyi 1.22
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
78.2%
Droshchynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tiutiunnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 08:30M. Tiutiunnyk259970A. Droshchynskyi331111113
LSep 12 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk188280A. Droshchynskyi331111113
LAug 2 · 12:05M. Tiutiunnyk357611111A. Droshchynskyi4311118133
LJul 24 · 12:30M. Tiutiunnyk21211531A. Droshchynskyi4011711113
LJun 25 · 11:10M. Tiutiunnyk154830A. Droshchynskyi331111113
WJun 7 · 05:30M. Tiutiunnyk381215113A. Droshchynskyi30101370
LMay 14 · 17:20M. Tiutiunnyk247890A. Droshchynskyi331111113
LMay 10 · 09:30M. Tiutiunnyk192890A. Droshchynskyi331111113
LMay 9 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk1910360A. Droshchynskyi341211113
LMay 3 · 07:00M. Tiutiunnyk291031151A. Droshchynskyi3912115113
M. Tiutiunnyk10
LSep 19 · 15:10V. Merzlikin1.611111113M. Tiutiunnyk2.201960LSep 19 · 13:10O. Kuzyshyn1.80111187113M. Tiutiunnyk1.9185111172LSep 19 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.7381111952Y. Holoborodko2.00119711113WSep 13 · 09:30M. Tiutiunnyk1.611113113A. Zozulia2.2011180LSep 13 · 08:30M. Tiutiunnyk3.509970A. Droshchynskyi1.281111113WSep 13 · 07:00M. Tiutiunnyk1.61881612133O. Varlamov2.2011111410112WSep 13 · 05:00M. Tiutiunnyk1.8011911113Y. Holoborodko1.91611931WSep 12 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk3.2511146113V. Maksuta1.339121191WSep 12 · 15:10Y. Skorobahatyi2.5011791172M. Tiutiunnyk1.50811114113WSep 12 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.8010111012113Y. Holoborodko1.91127121082
A. Droshchynskyi10
WSep 19 · 12:10V. Merzlikin3.754611111A. Droshchynskyi1.2511114133LSep 19 · 11:10O. Kuzyshyn1.83111113113A. Droshchynskyi1.83861551WSep 17 · 17:40A. Droshchynskyi2.00111111153I. Efimenko1.738713131LSep 17 · 15:40V. Maksuta1.8051111113A. Droshchynskyi1.91114871WSep 17 · 13:40V. Merzlikin4.00147331A. Droshchynskyi1.22121111113WSep 17 · 12:40A. Droshchynskyi1.73151358113A. Zozulia2.001311111172LSep 17 · 11:40Y. Holoborodko2.75116611113A. Droshchynskyi1.4081111692WSep 13 · 11:00O. Varlamov3.0010430A. Droshchynskyi1.361211113WSep 13 · 10:00Y. Holoborodko2.636760A. Droshchynskyi1.441111113WSep 13 · 08:30M. Tiutiunnyk3.509970A. Droshchynskyi1.281111113
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