TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155821
Played Sep 19Finished
Oleh Kuzyshyn
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118115811711117
Maksym Tiutiunnyk
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Tiutiunnyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Kuzyshyn above · Maksym Tiutiunnyk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 90 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Maksym Tiutiunnyk at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kuzyshyn 14–13 Maksym Tiutiunnyk Maksym Tiutiunnyk has won 13 of their 27 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:58What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kuzyshyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-13 in 27
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzyshyn 1594 vs Tiutiunnyk 1624
Tiutiunnyk
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzyshyn 60% vs Tiutiunnyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzyshyn 40% vs Tiutiunnyk 70%
Tiutiunnyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzyshyn +2 · Tiutiunnyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tiutiunnyk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzyshyn 1.80 / Tiutiunnyk 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Tiutiunnyk)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13155821
Kuzyshyn1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 57 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it78% 45 of 58
Tiutiunnyk1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 35 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back23% 12 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzyshyn5wins
AwayTiutiunnyk5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzyshyn75%3 of 4
AwayTiutiunnyk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzyshyn4Tiutiunnyk6n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 6 of 10
S2Kuzyshyn6Tiutiunnyk4n = 10Kuzyshyn took 6 of 10
S3Kuzyshyn3Tiutiunnyk7n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 7 of 10
S4Kuzyshyn5Tiutiunnyk3n = 8Kuzyshyn took 5 of 8
S5Kuzyshyn3Tiutiunnyk3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzyshynTiutiunnykK − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.941.8−0.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzyshynTiutiunnykBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 439 vs 191 / 38752.2%49.4%229 / 439 vs 191 / 387Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TiutiunnykKuzyshyn 1.80/Tiutiunnyk 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Tiutiunnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kuzyshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn52811813122M. Tiutiunnyk561191111143
LSep 3 · 13:10O. Kuzyshyn3611114372M. Tiutiunnyk44471111113
LJul 19 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn48611111192M. Tiutiunnyk49115139113
WMay 14 · 15:20O. Kuzyshyn51119119113M. Tiutiunnyk3971151152
LMay 3 · 10:30O. Kuzyshyn199820M. Tiutiunnyk331111113
WMar 29 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn3911143113M. Tiutiunnyk369121141
WMar 28 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn48911611113M. Tiutiunnyk4511711882
LFeb 21 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn2686120M. Tiutiunnyk361111143
WFeb 15 · 05:30O. Kuzyshyn46117115123M. Tiutiunnyk49811911102
WFeb 14 · 12:40O. Kuzyshyn44111111113M. Tiutiunnyk31134681
O. Kuzyshyn10
WSep 19 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn1.571211113Y. Holoborodko2.2510680WSep 19 · 14:40O. Kuzyshyn1.571111103A. Zozulia2.256590WSep 19 · 11:10O. Kuzyshyn1.83111113113A. Droshchynskyi1.83861551WSep 16 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn2.251171210113Y. Skorobahatyi1.57411101272LSep 16 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn1.73115661V. Merzlikin2.0081111113LSep 16 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.501151331Y. Holoborodko2.50131111113WSep 16 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.731113611113A. Zozulia2.00411111352LSep 16 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.40109111162D. Habrelyan2.75121168113WSep 10 · 16:40V. Maksuta1.838970O. Kuzyshyn1.831111113LSep 10 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn1.73811813122M. Tiutiunnyk2.001191111143
M. Tiutiunnyk10
LSep 19 · 15:10V. Merzlikin1.611111113M. Tiutiunnyk2.201960WSep 19 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk4.00981111113A. Droshchynskyi1.2211115482LSep 19 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.7381111952Y. Holoborodko2.00119711113WSep 13 · 09:30M. Tiutiunnyk1.611113113A. Zozulia2.2011180LSep 13 · 08:30M. Tiutiunnyk3.509970A. Droshchynskyi1.281111113WSep 13 · 07:00M. Tiutiunnyk1.61881612133O. Varlamov2.2011111410112WSep 13 · 05:00M. Tiutiunnyk1.8011911113Y. Holoborodko1.91611931WSep 12 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk3.2511146113V. Maksuta1.339121191WSep 12 · 15:10Y. Skorobahatyi2.5011791172M. Tiutiunnyk1.50811114113WSep 10 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn1.73811813122M. Tiutiunnyk2.001191111143
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