TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136744
Played Sep 16Finished
Oleh Kuzyshyn
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11471112101012117
Yevhen Skorobahatyi
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:20 and never touched — 66.0% is still 66.0%
Graded at full timeYevhen Skorobahatyi to win
66.0%
66.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Kuzyshyn above · Yevhen Skorobahatyi below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 95 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Yevhen Skorobahatyi at 66.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kuzyshyn 3–9 Yevhen Skorobahatyi Oleh Kuzyshyn has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:20What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Skorobahatyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-9 in 12
Skorobahatyi
Wrong
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzyshyn 1606 vs Skorobahatyi 1523
Kuzyshyn
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzyshyn 40% vs Skorobahatyi 0%
Kuzyshyn
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzyshyn 20% vs Skorobahatyi 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzyshyn -2 · Skorobahatyi -5
Skorobahatyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Skorobahatyi) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skorobahatyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzyshyn 2.25 / Skorobahatyi 1.57
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Skorobahatyi)-0.9pp
Setka Cup · #13136744
Kuzyshyn2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 29 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back22% 8 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Skorobahatyi1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 18 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it76% 16 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzyshyn2wins
AwaySkorobahatyi8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSkorobahatyi leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzyshynn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySkorobahatyi100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzyshyn2Skorobahatyi8n = 10Skorobahatyi took 8 of 10
S2Kuzyshyn2Skorobahatyi8n = 10Skorobahatyi took 8 of 10
S3Kuzyshyn1Skorobahatyi9n = 10Skorobahatyi took 9 of 10
S4Kuzyshyn1Skorobahatyi2n = 3Skorobahatyi took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away770%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzyshynSkorobahatyiK − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match27.536.2−8.7per matchSweeps07−73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzyshynSkorobahatyiBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 443 vs 126 / 27252.1%46.3%231 / 443 vs 126 / 272Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkorobahatyiKuzyshyn 2.25/Skorobahatyi 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58%
Skorobahatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kuzyshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 7 · 10:50O. Kuzyshyn2451360Y. Skorobahatyi371115113
LJul 25 · 11:10O. Kuzyshyn208930Y. Skorobahatyi331111113
WJul 3 · 08:50O. Kuzyshyn3811511113Y. Skorobahatyi27811531
LApr 11 · 09:50O. Kuzyshyn227780Y. Skorobahatyi331111113
WApr 10 · 17:50O. Kuzyshyn531111317113Y. Skorobahatyi5377111992
LSep 21 · 06:30O. Kuzyshyn2361070Y. Skorobahatyi341112113
LSep 14 · 07:30O. Kuzyshyn184860Y. Skorobahatyi331111113
LSep 13 · 16:10O. Kuzyshyn25213100Y. Skorobahatyi381115123
LSep 13 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn194870Y. Skorobahatyi31111193
LAug 23 · 17:40O. Kuzyshyn338113111Y. Skorobahatyi4311811133
O. Kuzyshyn10
LSep 16 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn1.73115661V. Merzlikin2.0081111113LSep 16 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.501151331Y. Holoborodko2.50131111113WSep 16 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.731113611113A. Zozulia2.00411111352LSep 16 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.40109111162D. Habrelyan2.75121168113WSep 10 · 16:40V. Maksuta1.838970O. Kuzyshyn1.831111113LSep 10 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn1.73811813122M. Tiutiunnyk2.001191111143LSep 10 · 14:40O. Kuzyshyn2.206590O. Zhyrnov1.611111113LSep 10 · 13:10O. Kuzyshyn1.8011611652A. Zozulia1.91411811113LSep 10 · 11:10O. Kuzyshyn1.3687110Y. Holoborodko3.001111133LSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101
Y. Skorobahatyi10
LSep 16 · 16:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.50612111162Y. Holoborodko2.50111437113LSep 16 · 14:40Y. Skorobahatyi1.91117127102D. Habrelyan1.809111011123LSep 16 · 13:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.5311116862V. Merzlikin2.38641111113LSep 16 · 11:10Y. Skorobahatyi2.2510940A. Zozulia1.571211113LSep 12 · 16:40Y. Skorobahatyi1.50137751V. Merzlikin2.50111111113LSep 12 · 15:10Y. Skorobahatyi2.5011791172M. Tiutiunnyk1.50811114113WSep 12 · 13:40Y. Skorobahatyi1.73119911113A. Droshchynskyi2.0061111982WSep 12 · 12:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.671111113Y. Holoborodko2.106780LSep 12 · 10:40Y. Skorobahatyi2.101011631V. Maksuta1.6712811113LSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113
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