TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117082
Played Sep 12Finished
Maksym Tiutiunnyk
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191412611119––
Volodymir Maksuta
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:33 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeVolodymir Maksuta to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Tiutiunnyk above · Volodymir Maksuta below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 83 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Volodymir Maksuta at 71.6%
83 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Tiutiunnyk 1–10 Volodymir Maksuta Maksym Tiutiunnyk has won 1 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:33What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Maksuta
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-10 in 11
Maksuta
Wrong
gap of 9 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tiutiunnyk 1614 vs Maksuta 1582
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tiutiunnyk 80% vs Maksuta 20%
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tiutiunnyk 70% vs Maksuta 30%
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tiutiunnyk +3 · Maksuta -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Maksuta)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksuta form (20%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTiutiunnyk 3.25 / Maksuta 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Maksuta)+0.7pp
Setka Cup · #13117082
Tiutiunnyk3.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 41 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back23% 12 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 37
Maksuta1.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 86 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it96% 52 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it83% 71 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTiutiunnyk1wins
AwayMaksuta9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMaksuta leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTiutiunnyk25%1 of 4
AwayMaksuta100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tiutiunnyk4Maksuta6n = 10Maksuta took 6 of 10
S2Tiutiunnyk2Maksuta8n = 10Maksuta took 8 of 10
S3Tiutiunnyk4Maksuta6n = 10Maksuta took 6 of 10
S4Tiutiunnyk1Maksuta4n = 5Maksuta took 4 of 5
S5Tiutiunnyk0Maksuta3n = 3Maksuta took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricTiutiunnykMaksutaT − MBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match30.038.1−8.1per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTiutiunnykMaksutaBasisWin rate · lifetime189 / 392 vs 166 / 29248.2%56.9%189 / 392 vs 166 / 292Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksutaTiutiunnyk 3.25/Maksuta 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.6%
Maksuta · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tiutiunnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 13:40M. Tiutiunnyk28441191V. Maksuta3911116113
LAug 5 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk137150V. Maksuta331111113
LJul 16 · 12:40M. Tiutiunnyk377111181V. Maksuta4311138113
LJun 11 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk53161197102V. Maksuta541461111123
LJun 6 · 12:40M. Tiutiunnyk178270V. Maksuta331111113
LMay 27 · 13:10M. Tiutiunnyk155460V. Maksuta331111113
LApr 1 · 13:10M. Tiutiunnyk216690V. Maksuta331111113
LMar 11 · 14:40M. Tiutiunnyk4413411972V. Maksuta511111711113
WMar 4 · 16:40M. Tiutiunnyk331111113V. Maksuta194690
LFeb 21 · 12:10M. Tiutiunnyk3911581142V. Maksuta4371111683
M. Tiutiunnyk10
WSep 12 · 15:10Y. Skorobahatyi2.5011791172M. Tiutiunnyk1.50811114113WSep 12 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.8010111012113Y. Holoborodko1.91127121082WSep 12 · 13:10V. Merzlikin1.53116971M. Tiutiunnyk2.3891111113LSep 12 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk3.258280A. Droshchynskyi1.331111113WSep 10 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.911111113Y. Holoborodko1.809720WSep 10 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn1.73811813122M. Tiutiunnyk2.001191111143LSep 10 · 13:40V. Maksuta1.3311116113M. Tiutiunnyk3.25441191LSep 10 · 12:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.381112481O. Zhyrnov1.5351411113WSep 10 · 11:40A. Zozulia1.8379130M. Tiutiunnyk1.831111153WSep 9 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.91131110113Y. Holoborodko1.801121241
V. Maksuta10
LSep 12 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.501011513113V. Maksuta1.50128111182LSep 12 · 14:40V. Merzlikin1.8341191183V. Maksuta1.8311911972LSep 12 · 12:40A. Droshchynskyi2.751111113V. Maksuta1.404490WSep 12 · 10:40Y. Skorobahatyi2.101011631V. Maksuta1.6712811113LSep 10 · 16:40V. Maksuta1.838970O. Kuzyshyn1.831111113LSep 10 · 15:10V. Maksuta1.577670A. Zozulia2.251111113WSep 10 · 13:40V. Maksuta1.3311116113M. Tiutiunnyk3.25441191LSep 10 · 12:10V. Maksuta1.4491111562Y. Holoborodko2.63116911113WSep 10 · 10:40V. Maksuta1.83119159113O. Zhyrnov1.83811131192LSep 7 · 18:00E. Hrytsenko1.80128712113V. Maksuta1.911011111082
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