TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142295
Played Sep 17Finished
Volodymir Maksuta
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012113116115––
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:52 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeVolodymir Maksuta to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymir Maksuta above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 69 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Volodymir Maksuta at 60.1%
69 points played in total.
H2H Volodymir Maksuta 14–13 Yevhenii Holoborodko Yevhenii Holoborodko has won 13 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:52What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Maksuta
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-13 in 27
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksuta 1576 vs Holoborodko 1604
Holoborodko
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksuta 20% vs Holoborodko 60%
Holoborodko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksuta 30% vs Holoborodko 60%
Holoborodko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksuta +1 · Holoborodko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Maksuta)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holoborodko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksuta 1.50 / Holoborodko 2.50
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Maksuta)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13142295
Maksuta1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 80 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it98% 48 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it82% 66 of 81
Holoborodko2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 66 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back26% 28 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaksuta6wins
AwayHoloborodko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMaksuta leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksuta62.5%5 of 8
AwayHoloborodkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksuta8Holoborodko2n = 10Maksuta took 8 of 10
S2Maksuta7Holoborodko3n = 10Maksuta took 7 of 10
S3Maksuta8Holoborodko2n = 10Maksuta took 8 of 10
S4Maksuta3Holoborodko4n = 7Holoborodko took 4 of 7
S5Maksuta0Holoborodko4n = 4Holoborodko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaksutaHoloborodkoM − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.236.6+4.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksutaHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 294 vs 335 / 64156.8%52.3%167 / 294 vs 335 / 641Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksutaMaksuta 1.50/Holoborodko 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Maksuta · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Maksuta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 16:10V. Maksuta50128111182Y. Holoborodko501011513113
LSep 10 · 12:10V. Maksuta4291111562Y. Holoborodko48116911113
LJul 30 · 12:40V. Maksuta44117111052Y. Holoborodko49811712113
LJul 23 · 17:40V. Maksuta4411119762Y. Holoborodko51991111113
WJul 16 · 17:40V. Maksuta341111123Y. Holoborodko2037100
WJul 14 · 14:10V. Maksuta4211119113Y. Holoborodko28481151
WJul 9 · 17:40V. Maksuta4791311143Y. Holoborodko4111117121
WJun 23 · 01:10V. Maksuta331111113Y. Holoborodko237880
WJun 11 · 16:10V. Maksuta341112113Y. Holoborodko2361070
WJun 6 · 17:40V. Maksuta4211811123Y. Holoborodko333119101
V. Maksuta10
WSep 17 · 11:10V. Maksuta1.91711112113I. Efimenko1.8011941182LSep 12 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk3.2511146113V. Maksuta1.339121191LSep 12 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.501011513113V. Maksuta1.50128111182LSep 12 · 14:40V. Merzlikin1.8341191183V. Maksuta1.8311911972LSep 12 · 12:40A. Droshchynskyi2.751111113V. Maksuta1.404490WSep 12 · 10:40Y. Skorobahatyi2.101011631V. Maksuta1.6712811113LSep 10 · 16:40V. Maksuta1.838970O. Kuzyshyn1.831111113LSep 10 · 15:10V. Maksuta1.577670A. Zozulia2.251111113WSep 10 · 13:40V. Maksuta1.3311116113M. Tiutiunnyk3.25441191LSep 10 · 12:10V. Maksuta1.4491111562Y. Holoborodko2.63116911113
Y. Holoborodko10
WSep 17 · 11:40Y. Holoborodko2.75116611113A. Droshchynskyi1.4081111692LSep 16 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko1.444980A. Zozulia2.631111113WSep 16 · 16:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.50612111162Y. Holoborodko2.50111437113WSep 16 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.501151331Y. Holoborodko2.50131111113LSep 16 · 12:40Y. Holoborodko2.50118781D. Habrelyan1.5061111113WSep 16 · 11:40V. Merzlikin2.005680Y. Holoborodko1.731111113LSep 14 · 11:35V. Ishchuk2.20111148113Y. Holoborodko1.6198111172WSep 14 · 10:35O. Karpenko2.75114371Y. Holoborodko1.4091111113WSep 12 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.501011513113V. Maksuta1.50128111182WSep 10 · 12:10V. Maksuta1.4491111562Y. Holoborodko2.63116911113
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