TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142020
Played Sep 17Finished
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4111012118411––
Artem Zozulia
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:24 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Holoborodko to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhenii Holoborodko above · Artem Zozulia below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 71 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Yevhenii Holoborodko at 55.8%
71 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Holoborodko 2–1 Artem Zozulia Artem Zozulia has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:24What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Holoborodko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holoborodko 1566 vs Zozulia 1545
Holoborodko
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holoborodko 20% vs Zozulia 40%
Zozulia
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holoborodko 40% vs Zozulia 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holoborodko -3 · Zozulia -1
Holoborodko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Holoborodko) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zozulia form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoloborodko 1.80 / Zozulia 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Holoborodko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13142020
Holoborodko1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 117 of 216
Up 2–0, closes it91% 48 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it69% 74 of 107
Zozulia1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 7 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back25% 3 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHoloborodko2wins
AwayZozulia1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderHoloborodko leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holoborodko1Zozulia2n = 3Zozulia took 2 of 3
S2Holoborodko0Zozulia3n = 3Zozulia took 3 of 3
S3Holoborodko2Zozulia1n = 3Holoborodko took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricHoloborodkoZozuliaH − ZBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match38.342.0−3.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoloborodkoZozuliaBasisWin rate · lifetime335 / 644 vs 14 / 3752%37.8%335 / 644 vs 14 / 37Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.035.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoloborodkoHoloborodko 1.80/Zozulia 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Holoborodko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zozulia won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 16 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko214980A. Zozulia331111113
WSep 13 · 11:30Y. Holoborodko51881111133A. Zozulia48111169112
WSep 10 · 14:10Y. Holoborodko43117113113A. Zozulia4581161192
Y. Holoborodko10
LSep 17 · 15:10V. Merzlikin2.201111113Y. Holoborodko1.617880LSep 17 · 14:10Y. Holoborodko1.8011114472I. Efimenko1.91561111113LSep 17 · 13:10V. Maksuta1.50101111113Y. Holoborodko2.50123651WSep 17 · 11:40Y. Holoborodko2.75116611113A. Droshchynskyi1.4081111692LSep 16 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko1.444980A. Zozulia2.631111113WSep 16 · 16:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.50612111162Y. Holoborodko2.50111437113WSep 16 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.501151331Y. Holoborodko2.50131111113LSep 16 · 12:40Y. Holoborodko2.50118781D. Habrelyan1.5061111113WSep 16 · 11:40V. Merzlikin2.005680Y. Holoborodko1.731111113LSep 14 · 11:35V. Ishchuk2.20111148113Y. Holoborodko1.6198111172
A. Zozulia10
LSep 17 · 16:10I. Efimenko1.80611119113A. Zozulia1.9111981192WSep 17 · 14:40V. Maksuta1.53412971A. Zozulia2.38111011113LSep 17 · 12:40A. Droshchynskyi1.73151358113A. Zozulia2.001311111172LSep 17 · 10:40V. Merzlikin2.251114113A. Zozulia1.5761290WSep 16 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko1.444980A. Zozulia2.631111113WSep 16 · 16:10A. Zozulia1.8011117113D. Habrelyan1.91851171WSep 16 · 14:10V. Merzlikin2.0091040A. Zozulia1.731112113LSep 16 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.731113611113A. Zozulia2.00411111352WSep 16 · 11:10Y. Skorobahatyi2.2510940A. Zozulia1.571211113LSep 13 · 11:30A. Zozulia2.00111169112Y. Holoborodko1.73881111133
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.