TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142683
Played Sep 17Finished
Valerii Merzlikin
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161412119––––
Artem Zozulia
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArtem Zozulia to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingValerii Merzlikin above · Artem Zozulia below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 63 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Artem Zozulia at 54.0%
63 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Merzlikin 0–1 Artem Zozulia Valerii Merzlikin has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:14What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Zozulia
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Merzlikin 1510 vs Zozulia 1566
Zozulia
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Merzlikin 60% vs Zozulia 80%
Zozulia
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Merzlikin 50% vs Zozulia 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Merzlikin +2 · Zozulia +3
Zozulia
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Zozulia) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zozulia form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMerzlikin 2.25 / Zozulia 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Zozulia)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13142683
Merzlikin2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog48% won 39 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back29% 14 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Zozulia1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite42% won 5 of 12
Up 2–0, closes it80% 4 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it67% 4 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMerzlikin0wins
AwayZozulia1wins
Zozulia leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricMerzlikinZozuliaM − ZBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match23.034.0−11.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMerzlikinZozuliaBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 605 vs 13 / 3345.1%39.4%273 / 605 vs 13 / 33Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.934.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZozuliaMerzlikin 2.25/Zozulia 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Zozulia · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Merzlikin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 16 · 14:10V. Merzlikin2391040A. Zozulia341112113
V. Merzlikin10
WSep 17 · 12:10V. Merzlikin2.6311911113I. Efimenko1.44911291WSep 16 · 17:10V. Merzlikin1.53111110113D. Habrelyan2.38491241WSep 16 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn1.73115661V. Merzlikin2.0081111113LSep 16 · 14:10V. Merzlikin2.0091040A. Zozulia1.731112113WSep 16 · 13:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.5311116862V. Merzlikin2.38641111113LSep 16 · 11:40V. Merzlikin2.005680Y. Holoborodko1.731111113WSep 12 · 16:40Y. Skorobahatyi1.50137751V. Merzlikin2.50111111113LSep 12 · 15:40V. Merzlikin3.409540A. Droshchynskyi1.30111153WSep 12 · 14:40V. Merzlikin1.8341191183V. Maksuta1.8311911972LSep 12 · 13:10V. Merzlikin1.53116971M. Tiutiunnyk2.3891111113
A. Zozulia10
WSep 16 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko1.444980A. Zozulia2.631111113WSep 16 · 16:10A. Zozulia1.8011117113D. Habrelyan1.91851171WSep 16 · 14:10V. Merzlikin2.0091040A. Zozulia1.731112113LSep 16 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.731113611113A. Zozulia2.00411111352WSep 16 · 11:10Y. Skorobahatyi2.2510940A. Zozulia1.571211113LSep 13 · 11:30A. Zozulia2.00111169112Y. Holoborodko1.73881111133LSep 13 · 09:30M. Tiutiunnyk1.611113113A. Zozulia2.2011180LSep 13 · 07:30Y. Bondarenko1.801111113A. Zozulia1.916860WSep 13 · 06:30A. Zozulia2.1031211113A. Droshchynskyi1.671110771LSep 13 · 05:30O. Varlamov1.91921112113A. Zozulia1.80111171062
Upcoming Matches
V. Merzlikin
A. Zozulia
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.