TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142738
Played Sep 17Finished
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115116411411711
Ivan Efimenko
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Efimenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Holoborodko above · Ivan Efimenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 81 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Ivan Efimenko at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:25What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Holoborodko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Holoborodko 1591 vs Efimenko 1631
Efimenko
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holoborodko 60% vs Efimenko 40%
Holoborodko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holoborodko 50% vs Efimenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holoborodko -1 · Efimenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Efimenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Efimenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoloborodko 1.80 / Efimenko 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Efimenko)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13142738
Holoborodko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 117 of 216
Up 2–0, closes it91% 48 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it69% 74 of 107
Efimenko1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoloborodkoEfimenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime335 / 642 vs 13 / 2252.2%59.1%335 / 642 vs 13 / 22Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.035.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
EfimenkoHoloborodko 1.80/Efimenko 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Efimenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Efimenko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Y. Holoborodko10
LSep 17 · 17:10Y. Holoborodko1.804101141A. Zozulia1.9111128113LSep 17 · 15:10V. Merzlikin2.201111113Y. Holoborodko1.617880LSep 17 · 13:10V. Maksuta1.50101111113Y. Holoborodko2.50123651WSep 17 · 11:40Y. Holoborodko2.75116611113A. Droshchynskyi1.4081111692LSep 16 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko1.444980A. Zozulia2.631111113WSep 16 · 16:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.50612111162Y. Holoborodko2.50111437113WSep 16 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.501151331Y. Holoborodko2.50131111113LSep 16 · 12:40Y. Holoborodko2.50118781D. Habrelyan1.5061111113WSep 16 · 11:40V. Merzlikin2.005680Y. Holoborodko1.731111113LSep 14 · 11:35V. Ishchuk2.20111148113Y. Holoborodko1.6198111172
I. Efimenko10
WSep 17 · 16:10I. Efimenko1.80611119113A. Zozulia1.9111981192LSep 17 · 12:10V. Merzlikin2.6311911113I. Efimenko1.44911291LSep 17 · 11:10V. Maksuta1.91711112113I. Efimenko1.8011941182WSep 12 · 11:05I. Efimenko1.131110811113A. Kotiash5.5041211492LSep 12 · 09:35I. Efimenko1.6141090Y. Volkov2.201112113WSep 12 · 08:05I. Efimenko1.2051111113V. Bilobrov4.33118521WSep 12 · 06:35I. Efimenko1.3681311113A. Troyan3.001111881LSep 12 · 05:05I. Efimenko1.44103111242Y. Kovshun2.631211810113WSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191WSep 5 · 09:20A. Kotiash4.333640I. Efimenko1.201111113
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