TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116834
Played Sep 12Finished
Ivan Efimenko
Home
1.13
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1141012811114119
Andrii Kotiash
Away
5.50
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:08 and never touched — 85.8% is still 85.8%
Graded at full timeIvan Efimenko to win
85.8%
85.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Efimenko above · Andrii Kotiash below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 91 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Ivan Efimenko at 85.8%
91 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Efimenko 3–0 Andrii Kotiash Andrii Kotiash has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:08What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Efimenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Efimenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Efimenko 1707 vs Kotiash 1443
Efimenko
Correct
both rated, 264 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Efimenko 60% vs Kotiash 0%
Efimenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Efimenko 70% vs Kotiash 0%
Efimenko
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Efimenko -1 · Kotiash -5
Kotiash
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Efimenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kotiash form (0%) is below what odds imply (18%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEfimenko 1.13 / Kotiash 5.50
Signal prob.86% / 14%
Edge (Efimenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13116834
Efimenko1.13
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 9 of 13
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Kotiash5.50
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 62 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back25% 22 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeEfimenko3wins
AwayKotiash0wins
Efimenko leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeEfimenko100%3 of 3
AwayKotiashn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Efimenko3Kotiash0n = 3Efimenko took 3 of 3
S2Efimenko3Kotiash0n = 3Efimenko took 3 of 3
S3Efimenko3Kotiash0n = 3Efimenko took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home3100%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricEfimenkoKotiashE − KBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match33.016.0+17.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEfimenkoKotiashBasisWin rate · lifetime12 / 19 vs 223 / 47363.2%47.2%12 / 19 vs 223 / 473Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.936.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
EfimenkoEfimenko 1.13/Kotiash 5.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.8%
Efimenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Efimenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 5 · 09:20I. Efimenko—1111113A. Kotiash—3640
WAug 29 · 10:05I. Efimenko—1111113A. Kotiash—5660
WAug 22 · 08:05I. Efimenko—1111113A. Kotiash—7380
I. Efimenko10
LSep 12 · 09:35I. Efimenko1.6141090Y. Volkov2.201112113WSep 12 · 08:05I. Efimenko1.2051111113V. Bilobrov4.33118521WSep 12 · 06:35I. Efimenko1.3681311113A. Troyan3.001111881LSep 12 · 05:05I. Efimenko1.44103111242Y. Kovshun2.631211810113WSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191WSep 5 · 09:20A. Kotiash4.333640I. Efimenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 08:20I. Efimenko1.531111113A. Troyan2.388870WSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov1.67811751I. Efimenko2.1011611113WSep 5 · 06:18I. Efimenko1.36148115113Y. Kovshun3.00121171162LAug 29 · 12:05I. Efimenko1.3391040A. Melchenko3.251112113
A. Kotiash10
LSep 12 · 10:05A. Kotiash1.739720V. Bilobrov2.001111113LSep 12 · 09:05A. Kotiash2.20111791182Y. Kovshun1.61219118113LSep 12 · 07:35A. Kotiash3.406101101Y. Volkov1.3011129113LSep 12 · 05:35A. Kotiash2.5021090A. Troyan1.501112113LSep 11 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.30611911113A. Kotiash3.4011311392LSep 11 · 09:30A. Kotiash1.409720V. Bilobrov2.751111113LSep 11 · 08:30A. Kotiash2.2011184862O. Karpenko1.61216111193LSep 11 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.738950Y. Kovshun2.001111113LSep 11 · 05:00A. Kotiash2.2066100A. Troyan1.611111123LSep 5 · 09:20A. Kotiash4.333640I. Efimenko1.201111113
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