TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155729
Played Sep 19Finished
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121151179111416
Artem Zozulia
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:38 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeArtem Zozulia to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Holoborodko above · Artem Zozulia below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 14-16
Point 106 set 5, 14-16 — our read held Artem Zozulia at 58.2%
106 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Holoborodko 2–2 Artem Zozulia Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:38What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zozulia
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holoborodko 1585 vs Zozulia 1579
Holoborodko
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holoborodko 20% vs Zozulia 60%
Zozulia
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holoborodko 40% vs Zozulia 60%
Zozulia
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holoborodko +1 · Zozulia +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zozulia) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holoborodko form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoloborodko 2.00 / Zozulia 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zozulia)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13155729
Holoborodko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 66 of 169
Down 0–1, comes back26% 27 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 58
Zozulia1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite39% won 5 of 13
Up 2–0, closes it80% 4 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it67% 4 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHoloborodko2wins
AwayZozulia2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHoloborodkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayZozulia66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holoborodko1Zozulia3n = 4Zozulia took 3 of 4
S2Holoborodko0Zozulia4n = 4Zozulia took 4 of 4
S3Holoborodko3Zozulia1n = 4Holoborodko took 3 of 4
S4Holoborodko1Zozulia2n = 3Zozulia took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricHoloborodkoZozuliaH − ZBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match36.042.0−6.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoloborodkoZozuliaBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 641 vs 16 / 3952.1%41%334 / 641 vs 16 / 39Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZozuliaHoloborodko 2.00/Zozulia 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zozulia · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zozulia won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 17 · 17:10Y. Holoborodko294101141A. Zozulia4211128113
LSep 16 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko214980A. Zozulia331111113
WSep 13 · 11:30Y. Holoborodko51881111133A. Zozulia48111169112
WSep 10 · 14:10Y. Holoborodko43117113113A. Zozulia4581161192
Y. Holoborodko10
WSep 19 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.7381111952Y. Holoborodko2.00119711113LSep 17 · 17:10Y. Holoborodko1.804101141A. Zozulia1.9111128113LSep 17 · 15:10V. Merzlikin2.201111113Y. Holoborodko1.617880LSep 17 · 14:10Y. Holoborodko1.8011114472I. Efimenko1.91561111113LSep 17 · 13:10V. Maksuta1.50101111113Y. Holoborodko2.50123651WSep 17 · 11:40Y. Holoborodko2.75116611113A. Droshchynskyi1.4081111692LSep 16 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko1.444980A. Zozulia2.631111113WSep 16 · 16:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.50612111162Y. Holoborodko2.50111437113WSep 16 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.501151331Y. Holoborodko2.50131111113LSep 16 · 12:40Y. Holoborodko2.50118781D. Habrelyan1.5061111113
A. Zozulia10
WSep 19 · 10:40V. Merzlikin1.834470A. Zozulia1.831111113WSep 17 · 17:10Y. Holoborodko1.804101141A. Zozulia1.9111128113LSep 17 · 16:10I. Efimenko1.80611119113A. Zozulia1.9111981192WSep 17 · 14:40V. Maksuta1.53412971A. Zozulia2.38111011113LSep 17 · 12:40A. Droshchynskyi1.73151358113A. Zozulia2.001311111172LSep 17 · 10:40V. Merzlikin2.251114113A. Zozulia1.5761290WSep 16 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko1.444980A. Zozulia2.631111113WSep 16 · 16:10A. Zozulia1.8011117113D. Habrelyan1.91851171WSep 16 · 14:10V. Merzlikin2.0091040A. Zozulia1.731112113LSep 16 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.731113611113A. Zozulia2.00411111352
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