TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Oleh Kuzyshyn
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111181210115––
Roman Pomin
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRoman Pomin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Kuzyshyn above · Roman Pomin below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 73 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Roman Pomin at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kuzyshyn 6–6 Roman Pomin Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:47What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pomin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzyshyn 1643 vs Pomin 1588
Kuzyshyn
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzyshyn 80% vs Pomin 60%
Kuzyshyn
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzyshyn 70% vs Pomin 50%
Kuzyshyn
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzyshyn +1 · Pomin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pomin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzyshyn form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzyshyn 2.00 / Pomin 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pomin)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13161523
Kuzyshyn2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog40% won 29 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back21% 7 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Pomin1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 12 of 20
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzyshyn4wins
AwayPomin6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPomin leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzyshyn66.7%2 of 3
AwayPomin71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzyshyn3Pomin7n = 10Pomin took 7 of 10
S2Kuzyshyn3Pomin7n = 10Pomin took 7 of 10
S3Kuzyshyn5Pomin4n = 9Kuzyshyn took 5 of 9
S4Kuzyshyn2Pomin2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzyshynPominK − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.332.7−1.4per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzyshynPominBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 445 vs 71 / 13852.6%51.5%234 / 445 vs 71 / 138Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PominKuzyshyn 2.00/Pomin 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Pomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kuzyshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 20 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn3951112113R. Pomin341181051
WJul 18 · 14:40O. Kuzyshyn361114113R. Pomin2341270
LFeb 22 · 07:30O. Kuzyshyn2798100R. Pomin341111123
WFeb 14 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn331111113R. Pomin197660
LJan 24 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn157260R. Pomin331111113
LOct 25 · 14:10O. Kuzyshyn31491171R. Pomin3911116113
LOct 18 · 11:10O. Kuzyshyn2899100R. Pomin341111123
WOct 4 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn43731111113R. Pomin3811117542
LSep 27 · 11:10O. Kuzyshyn30117391R. Pomin4071111113
O. Kuzyshyn10
LSep 20 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.44111181192Y. Holoborodko2.63133112113WSep 20 · 05:00O. Kuzyshyn1.2811112113Y. Makovka3.50761131LSep 19 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.0011611113O. Kuzyshyn1.73611851WSep 19 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn1.571211113Y. Holoborodko2.2510680WSep 19 · 14:40O. Kuzyshyn1.571111103A. Zozulia2.256590WSep 19 · 13:10O. Kuzyshyn1.80111187113M. Tiutiunnyk1.9185111172WSep 19 · 11:10O. Kuzyshyn1.83111113113A. Droshchynskyi1.83861551WSep 16 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn2.251171210113Y. Skorobahatyi1.57411101272LSep 16 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn1.73115661V. Merzlikin2.0081111113LSep 16 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.501151331Y. Holoborodko2.50131111113
R. Pomin10
LSep 20 · 08:00R. Pomin1.40108121162Y. Makovka2.751211105113WSep 20 · 05:30R. Pomin2.20117911113M. Tiutiunnyk1.6171111252LAug 15 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.384101111123R. Pomin1.53111289102WAug 15 · 15:40R. Pomin1.61119911113Y. Holoborodko2.2091111682LAug 15 · 14:40R. Pomin1.507111091R. Sopivnyk2.5011812113WAug 15 · 13:10R. Pomin1.83811118133O. Varlamov1.83117811112WAug 15 · 11:10R. Pomin1.73111139113O. Blashkun2.0098111142WAug 13 · 16:40V. Merzlikin1.831171071R. Pomin1.8351112113LAug 13 · 15:40R. Pomin2.0011128872V. Maksuta1.736101111113LAug 13 · 14:40R. Pomin1.3611811792R. Sopivnyk3.00511511113
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