TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Roman Pomin
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117711911112115
Maksym Tiutiunnyk
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:05 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeMaksym Tiutiunnyk to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Pomin above · Maksym Tiutiunnyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 85 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Maksym Tiutiunnyk at 60.1%
85 points played in total.
H2H Roman Pomin 3–10 Maksym Tiutiunnyk Roman Pomin has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:05What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Tiutiunnyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-10 in 13
Tiutiunnyk
Wrong
gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pomin 1600 vs Tiutiunnyk 1606
Tiutiunnyk
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pomin 60% vs Tiutiunnyk 20%
Pomin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pomin 50% vs Tiutiunnyk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pomin -1 · Tiutiunnyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Tiutiunnyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tiutiunnyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPomin 2.20 / Tiutiunnyk 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Tiutiunnyk)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13160921
Pomin2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 36 days ago (Aug 15) · back after a break
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 11 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Tiutiunnyk1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 61 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it80% 36 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePomin2wins
AwayTiutiunnyk8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTiutiunnyk leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePomin40%2 of 5
AwayTiutiunnyk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pomin5Tiutiunnyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Pomin3Tiutiunnyk7n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 7 of 10
S3Pomin5Tiutiunnyk4n = 9Pomin took 5 of 9
S4Pomin2Tiutiunnyk5n = 7Tiutiunnyk took 5 of 7
S5Pomin0Tiutiunnyk3n = 3Tiutiunnyk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPominTiutiunnykP − TBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.241.1−2.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPominTiutiunnykBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 147 vs 192 / 39151.7%49.1%76 / 147 vs 192 / 391Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TiutiunnykPomin 2.20/Tiutiunnyk 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Tiutiunnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LMay 9 · 11:10R. Pomin341563101M. Tiutiunnyk47131111123
WDec 6 · 12:10R. Pomin331111113M. Tiutiunnyk183960
LApr 19 · 11:10R. Pomin49111311592M. Tiutiunnyk55915911113
LApr 6 · 07:00R. Pomin32911481M. Tiutiunnyk4011711113
LMar 30 · 11:00R. Pomin4612961182M. Tiutiunnyk491011116113
LMar 8 · 11:40R. Pomin35971181M. Tiutiunnyk4111118113
LFeb 15 · 15:40R. Pomin331110120M. Tiutiunnyk391312143
LJan 18 · 12:10R. Pomin368711101M. Tiutiunnyk3711113123
LJan 4 · 16:48R. Pomin46610111182M. Tiutiunnyk44111246113
R. Pomin10
LAug 15 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.384101111123R. Pomin1.53111289102WAug 15 · 15:40R. Pomin1.61119911113Y. Holoborodko2.2091111682LAug 15 · 14:40R. Pomin1.507111091R. Sopivnyk2.5011812113WAug 15 · 13:10R. Pomin1.83811118133O. Varlamov1.83117811112WAug 15 · 11:10R. Pomin1.73111139113O. Blashkun2.0098111142WAug 13 · 16:40V. Merzlikin1.831171071R. Pomin1.8351112113LAug 13 · 15:40R. Pomin2.0011128872V. Maksuta1.736101111113LAug 13 · 14:40R. Pomin1.3611811792R. Sopivnyk3.00511511113LAug 13 · 13:10R. Pomin2.00147931A. Droshchynskyi1.73121111113WAug 13 · 11:10R. Pomin1.6711115113O. Blashkun2.10991191
M. Tiutiunnyk10
WSep 20 · 06:30M. Tiutiunnyk1.73711511113Y. Holoborodko2.0011911992LSep 19 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.288660A. Zozulia3.501111113LSep 19 · 15:10V. Merzlikin1.611111113M. Tiutiunnyk2.201960WSep 19 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk4.00981111113A. Droshchynskyi1.2211115482LSep 19 · 13:10O. Kuzyshyn1.80111187113M. Tiutiunnyk1.9185111172LSep 19 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.7381111952Y. Holoborodko2.00119711113WSep 13 · 09:30M. Tiutiunnyk1.611113113A. Zozulia2.2011180LSep 13 · 08:30M. Tiutiunnyk3.509970A. Droshchynskyi1.281111113WSep 13 · 07:00M. Tiutiunnyk1.61881612133O. Varlamov2.2011111410112WSep 13 · 05:00M. Tiutiunnyk1.8011911113Y. Holoborodko1.91611931
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