TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Oleh Kuzyshyn
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1113113811112911
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:14 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeOleh Kuzyshyn to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Kuzyshyn above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 90 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Oleh Kuzyshyn at 66.5%
90 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kuzyshyn 22–9 Yevhenii Holoborodko Yevhenii Holoborodko has won 9 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:14What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-9 in 31
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
gap of 13 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzyshyn 1643 vs Holoborodko 1523
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzyshyn 80% vs Holoborodko 0%
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzyshyn 70% vs Holoborodko 10%
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzyshyn +2 · Holoborodko -5
Holoborodko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Kuzyshyn) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holoborodko form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzyshyn 1.44 / Holoborodko 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Kuzyshyn)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13160923
Kuzyshyn1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 60 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it95% 40 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it79% 48 of 61
Holoborodko2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 67 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back25% 27 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzyshyn6wins
AwayHoloborodko4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKuzyshyn leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzyshyn71.4%5 of 7
AwayHoloborodko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzyshyn7Holoborodko3n = 10Kuzyshyn took 7 of 10
S2Kuzyshyn6Holoborodko4n = 10Kuzyshyn took 6 of 10
S3Kuzyshyn6Holoborodko4n = 10Kuzyshyn took 6 of 10
S4Kuzyshyn1Holoborodko3n = 4Holoborodko took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzyshynHoloborodkoK − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match33.830.4+3.4per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzyshynHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 445 vs 334 / 64652.6%51.7%234 / 445 vs 334 / 646Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzyshynKuzyshyn 1.44/Holoborodko 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.5%
Kuzyshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Holoborodko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn341211113Y. Holoborodko2410680
LSep 16 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn321151331Y. Holoborodko46131111113
LSep 10 · 11:10O. Kuzyshyn2687110Y. Holoborodko351111133
WSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn331111113Y. Holoborodko237790
LSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn32118671Y. Holoborodko4181111113
WSep 3 · 11:10O. Kuzyshyn331111113Y. Holoborodko175660
WAug 27 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn331111113Y. Holoborodko217770
LAug 22 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn301131061Y. Holoborodko3951112113
WAug 19 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn52912911113Y. Holoborodko41111011362
WAug 12 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn331111113Y. Holoborodko176380
O. Kuzyshyn10
WSep 20 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn2.0051112113R. Pomin1.731181051WSep 20 · 05:00O. Kuzyshyn1.2811112113Y. Makovka3.50761131LSep 19 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.0011611113O. Kuzyshyn1.73611851WSep 19 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn1.571211113Y. Holoborodko2.2510680WSep 19 · 14:40O. Kuzyshyn1.571111103A. Zozulia2.256590WSep 19 · 13:10O. Kuzyshyn1.80111187113M. Tiutiunnyk1.9185111172WSep 19 · 11:10O. Kuzyshyn1.83111113113A. Droshchynskyi1.83861551WSep 16 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn2.251171210113Y. Skorobahatyi1.57411101272LSep 16 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn1.73115661V. Merzlikin2.0081111113LSep 16 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.501151331Y. Holoborodko2.50131111113
Y. Holoborodko10
LSep 20 · 06:30M. Tiutiunnyk1.73711511113Y. Holoborodko2.0011911992LSep 20 · 04:30A. Droshchynskyi1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.756960LSep 19 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko2.6334120A. Droshchynskyi1.441111143LSep 19 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn1.571211113Y. Holoborodko2.2510680LSep 19 · 12:40Y. Holoborodko2.001011119142A. Zozulia1.73125711163WSep 19 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.7381111952Y. Holoborodko2.00119711113LSep 17 · 17:10Y. Holoborodko1.804101141A. Zozulia1.9111128113LSep 17 · 15:10V. Merzlikin2.201111113Y. Holoborodko1.617880LSep 17 · 14:10Y. Holoborodko1.8011114472I. Efimenko1.91561111113WSep 16 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.501151331Y. Holoborodko2.50131111113
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