TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Oleh Kuzyshyn
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117116211113––
Yaroslav Makovka
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:06 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeOleh Kuzyshyn to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Kuzyshyn above · Yaroslav Makovka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 62 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Oleh Kuzyshyn at 76.6%
62 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kuzyshyn 24–6 Yaroslav Makovka Yaroslav Makovka has won 6 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:06What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Kuzyshyn
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-6 in 30
Kuzyshyn
Correct
gap of 18 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzyshyn 1627 vs Makovka 1563
Kuzyshyn
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzyshyn 80% vs Makovka 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzyshyn 60% vs Makovka 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzyshyn -1 · Makovka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Kuzyshyn)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makovka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzyshyn 1.28 / Makovka 3.50
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Kuzyshyn)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13161593
Kuzyshyn1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 60 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it95% 40 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it79% 48 of 61
Makovka3.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog35% won 47 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzyshyn9wins
AwayMakovka1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKuzyshyn leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzyshyn87.5%7 of 8
AwayMakovkan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzyshyn8Makovka2n = 10Kuzyshyn took 8 of 10
S2Kuzyshyn7Makovka3n = 10Kuzyshyn took 7 of 10
S3Kuzyshyn6Makovka4n = 10Kuzyshyn took 6 of 10
S4Kuzyshyn7Makovka0n = 7Kuzyshyn took 7 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzyshynMakovkaK − MBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.431.2+10.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzyshynMakovkaBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 443 vs 151 / 37852.4%40%232 / 443 vs 151 / 378Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzyshynKuzyshyn 1.28/Makovka 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Kuzyshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kuzyshyn won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 26 · 05:35O. Kuzyshyn3811115113Y. Makovka30481171
WJul 25 · 14:10O. Kuzyshyn44121011113Y. Makovka331012381
WMay 3 · 07:30O. Kuzyshyn3811115113Y. Makovka27661141
WMay 2 · 13:10O. Kuzyshyn331111113Y. Makovka94230
LMar 29 · 10:00O. Kuzyshyn4611851392Y. Makovka495111111113
WMar 22 · 10:30O. Kuzyshyn4111127113Y. Makovka358101161
WMar 1 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn531271211113Y. Makovka42141110252
WFeb 28 · 12:40O. Kuzyshyn5091116143Y. Makovka4011314121
WJan 18 · 06:00O. Kuzyshyn371511113Y. Makovka2213270
WJan 17 · 17:10O. Kuzyshyn341111123Y. Makovka2587100
O. Kuzyshyn10
LSep 19 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.0011611113O. Kuzyshyn1.73611851WSep 19 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn1.571211113Y. Holoborodko2.2510680WSep 19 · 14:40O. Kuzyshyn1.571111103A. Zozulia2.256590WSep 19 · 13:10O. Kuzyshyn1.80111187113M. Tiutiunnyk1.9185111172WSep 19 · 11:10O. Kuzyshyn1.83111113113A. Droshchynskyi1.83861551WSep 16 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn2.251171210113Y. Skorobahatyi1.57411101272LSep 16 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn1.73115661V. Merzlikin2.0081111113LSep 16 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.501151331Y. Holoborodko2.50131111113WSep 16 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.731113611113A. Zozulia2.00411111352LSep 16 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.40109111162D. Habrelyan2.75121168113
Y. Makovka10
LSep 20 · 06:00A. Droshchynskyi1.1711117113Y. Makovka4.50591171WSep 19 · 12:05Y. Makovka2.251615710113Y. Kovshun1.571413111282WSep 19 · 10:05I. Efimenko1.44614761Y. Makovka2.63111211113LSep 19 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.50871611113Y. Makovka2.50111114492WSep 19 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.0011811113V. Kryvenko1.73611981WSep 19 · 06:05A. Kotiash2.63811731Y. Makovka1.4411911113WSep 16 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi2.2071151242Y. Makovka1.611121110113WSep 16 · 09:35Y. Makovka2.751111163I. Pytsko1.4059140WSep 16 · 08:35Y. Makovka2.5011811113O. Storozhenko1.50911751LSep 16 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.509980Y. Tebenko1.501111113
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