TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155560
Played Sep 19Finished
Ivan Efimenko
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111412711611––
Yaroslav Makovka
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:12 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeIvan Efimenko to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Efimenko above · Yaroslav Makovka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 78 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Ivan Efimenko at 67.3%
78 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Efimenko 0–1 Yaroslav Makovka Ivan Efimenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:12What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Efimenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Efimenko 1655 vs Makovka 1519
Efimenko
Wrong
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Efimenko 60% vs Makovka 80%
Makovka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Efimenko 50% vs Makovka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Efimenko +2 · Makovka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Efimenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makovka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEfimenko 1.44 / Makovka 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Efimenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13155560
Efimenko1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 12 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it80% 8 of 10
Makovka2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 44 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeEfimenko0wins
AwayMakovka1wins
Makovka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricEfimenkoMakovkaE − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match31.041.0−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEfimenkoMakovkaBasisWin rate · lifetime17 / 28 vs 149 / 37660.7%39.6%17 / 28 vs 149 / 376Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
EfimenkoEfimenko 1.44/Makovka 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.3%
Efimenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Makovka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 22 · 09:35I. Efimenko31118931Y. Makovka4181111113
I. Efimenko10
WSep 19 · 11:05Y. Volkov1.80119116122I. Efimenko1.91911811143WSep 19 · 09:05I. Efimenko1.5011119113V. Kryvenko2.50841131WSep 19 · 07:35I. Efimenko1.2061112113A. Kotiash4.331161081LSep 19 · 05:35I. Efimenko1.44411771Y. Kovshun2.6311811113LSep 17 · 17:40A. Droshchynskyi2.00111111153I. Efimenko1.738713131WSep 17 · 16:10I. Efimenko1.80611119113A. Zozulia1.9111981192WSep 17 · 14:10Y. Holoborodko1.8011114472I. Efimenko1.91561111113LSep 17 · 12:10V. Merzlikin2.6311911113I. Efimenko1.44911291LSep 17 · 11:10V. Maksuta1.91711112113I. Efimenko1.8011941182WSep 12 · 11:05I. Efimenko1.131110811113A. Kotiash5.5041211492
Y. Makovka10
LSep 19 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.50871611113Y. Makovka2.50111114492WSep 19 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.0011811113V. Kryvenko1.73611981WSep 19 · 06:05A. Kotiash2.63811731Y. Makovka1.4411911113WSep 16 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi2.2071151242Y. Makovka1.611121110113WSep 16 · 09:35Y. Makovka2.751111163I. Pytsko1.4059140WSep 16 · 08:35Y. Makovka2.5011811113O. Storozhenko1.50911751LSep 16 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.509980Y. Tebenko1.501111113LSep 16 · 05:05Y. Makovka2.751181091D. Maltsev1.4041112113LSep 15 · 18:05Y. Makovka2.004660D. Maltsev1.731111113LSep 15 · 16:35Y. Makovka2.106950Y. Tebenko1.671111113
Upcoming Matches
I. Efimenko
Nothing scheduled
Y. Makovka
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