TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155695
Played Sep 19Finished
Yurii Volkov
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8117111614114119
Yaroslav Makovka
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeYurii Volkov to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Yaroslav Makovka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 16-14
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 102 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Yurii Volkov at 65.3%
102 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 3–3 Yaroslav Makovka Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:29What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Volkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1623 vs Makovka 1527
Volkov
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 60% vs Makovka 100%
Makovka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 50% vs Makovka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov -2 · Makovka +5
Makovka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Volkov) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makovka form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 1.50 / Makovka 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Volkov)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13155695
Volkov1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 163 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it98% 81 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it85% 118 of 139
Makovka2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 44 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeVolkov3wins
AwayMakovka3wins
Level at 3–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov60%3 of 5
AwayMakovkan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov5Makovka1n = 6Volkov took 5 of 6
S2Volkov3Makovka3n = 6split evenly
S3Volkov2Makovka4n = 6Makovka took 4 of 6
S4Volkov2Makovka2n = 4split evenly
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricVolkovMakovkaV − MBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match38.033.2+4.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovMakovkaBasisWin rate · lifetime407 / 774 vs 149 / 37552.6%39.7%407 / 774 vs 149 / 375Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolkovVolkov 1.50/Makovka 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Volkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Volkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 22 · 11:35Y. Volkov45131011113Y. Makovka351112481
WAug 15 · 08:05Y. Volkov4211119113Y. Makovka30961141
WAug 1 · 10:35Y. Volkov331111113Y. Makovka185760
LAug 30 · 09:50Y. Volkov30119461Y. Makovka4071111113
LJul 20 · 06:35Y. Volkov409111191Y. Makovka4311813113
Y. Volkov10
WSep 19 · 09:35Y. Volkov1.2881111113A. Kotiash3.50114221LSep 19 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.809660Y. Kovshun1.911111113LSep 19 · 05:05Y. Volkov1.83671171V. Kryvenko1.8311114113WSep 18 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.7311119123Y. Kovshun2.009711101WSep 18 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.4011811113V. Bilobrov2.75911781WSep 18 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.5081311113S. Kyienko1.501111871WSep 18 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.611111113A. Troyan2.207850WSep 18 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.4081211113O. Karpenko2.751110791LSep 14 · 11:05Y. Volkov1.8384111352A. Obishchenko1.831111511113LSep 14 · 09:35Y. Volkov2.257860V. Ishchuk1.571111113
Y. Makovka10
WSep 19 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.0011811113V. Kryvenko1.73611981WSep 19 · 06:05A. Kotiash2.63811731Y. Makovka1.4411911113WSep 16 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi2.2071151242Y. Makovka1.611121110113WSep 16 · 09:35Y. Makovka2.751111163I. Pytsko1.4059140WSep 16 · 08:35Y. Makovka2.5011811113O. Storozhenko1.50911751LSep 16 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.509980Y. Tebenko1.501111113LSep 16 · 05:05Y. Makovka2.751181091D. Maltsev1.4041112113LSep 15 · 18:05Y. Makovka2.004660D. Maltsev1.731111113LSep 15 · 16:35Y. Makovka2.106950Y. Tebenko1.671111113WSep 15 · 15:05Y. Makovka1.60571111113I. Fashchevskyi2.2011117472
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