TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155471
Played Sep 19Finished
Yurii Volkov
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811114112112––
Andrii Kotiash
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeYurii Volkov to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Andrii Kotiash below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 60 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Yurii Volkov at 79.4%
60 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 16–3 Andrii Kotiash Andrii Kotiash has won 3 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:59What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Volkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-3 in 19
Volkov
Correct
gap of 13 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1631 vs Kotiash 1465
Volkov
Correct
both rated, 167 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 60% vs Kotiash 20%
Volkov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 60% vs Kotiash 10%
Volkov
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov +1 · Kotiash +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Volkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volkov form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 1.28 / Kotiash 3.50
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Volkov)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13155471
Volkov1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 163 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it98% 81 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it85% 118 of 139
Kotiash3.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 55 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back24% 20 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back13% 7 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolkov8wins
AwayKotiash2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVolkov leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov100%6 of 6
AwayKotiash50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov6Kotiash4n = 10Volkov took 6 of 10
S2Volkov7Kotiash3n = 10Volkov took 7 of 10
S3Volkov8Kotiash2n = 10Volkov took 8 of 10
S4Volkov5Kotiash2n = 7Volkov took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolkovKotiashV − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.230.3+7.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovKotiashBasisWin rate · lifetime408 / 775 vs 221 / 46952.7%47.1%408 / 775 vs 221 / 469Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolkovVolkov 1.28/Kotiash 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Volkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Volkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 07:35Y. Volkov4311129113A. Kotiash276101101
WSep 11 · 10:30Y. Volkov48611911113A. Kotiash3711311392
WSep 5 · 10:19Y. Volkov3611211123A. Kotiash359115101
LSep 4 · 10:30Y. Volkov27741151A. Kotiash4211119113
WAug 22 · 07:05Y. Volkov351111133A. Kotiash2375110
WAug 20 · 11:00Y. Volkov341211113A. Kotiash1810440
WAug 7 · 09:05Y. Volkov4281211113A. Kotiash321110561
WAug 4 · 07:05Y. Volkov341112113A. Kotiash1631030
WAug 3 · 06:35Y. Volkov4212811113A. Kotiash291011531
LJul 18 · 10:05Y. Volkov4161111582A. Kotiash44113811113
Y. Volkov10
WSep 19 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.50871611113Y. Makovka2.50111114492LSep 19 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.809660Y. Kovshun1.911111113LSep 19 · 05:05Y. Volkov1.83671171V. Kryvenko1.8311114113WSep 18 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.7311119123Y. Kovshun2.009711101WSep 18 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.4011811113V. Bilobrov2.75911781WSep 18 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.5081311113S. Kyienko1.501111871WSep 18 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.611111113A. Troyan2.207850WSep 18 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.4081211113O. Karpenko2.751110791LSep 14 · 11:05Y. Volkov1.8384111352A. Obishchenko1.831111511113LSep 14 · 09:35Y. Volkov2.257860V. Ishchuk1.571111113
A. Kotiash10
WSep 19 · 08:35A. Kotiash2.2011116113Y. Kovshun1.61961141LSep 19 · 07:35I. Efimenko1.2061112113A. Kotiash4.331161081LSep 19 · 06:05A. Kotiash2.63811731Y. Makovka1.4411911113LSep 12 · 11:05I. Efimenko1.131110811113A. Kotiash5.5041211492LSep 12 · 10:05A. Kotiash1.739720V. Bilobrov2.001111113LSep 12 · 09:05A. Kotiash2.20111791182Y. Kovshun1.61219118113LSep 12 · 07:35A. Kotiash3.406101101Y. Volkov1.3011129113LSep 12 · 05:35A. Kotiash2.5021090A. Troyan1.501112113LSep 11 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.30611911113A. Kotiash3.4011311392LSep 11 · 09:30A. Kotiash1.409720V. Bilobrov2.751111113
Upcoming Matches
Y. Volkov
Nothing scheduled
A. Kotiash
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